Basketball · Finland Korisliigan · 30/10, 17:30

Prediction: KTP Basket Kotka vs Tapiolan Honka

Prediction summary

Estimated points

180.1Total

KTP Basket Kotka95.5

Tapiolan Honka84.6

1X2

78% 22%

KTP Basket Kotka Tapiolan Honka

Recent form · 10 last

KTP Basket Kotka 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Tapiolan Honka 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

KTP Basket Kotka 5–1 Tapiolan Honka (6 last)

KTP Basket Kotka89-68Tapiolan Honka
Tapiolan Honka93-98KTP Basket Kotka
Tapiolan Honka89-84KTP Basket Kotka
KTP Basket Kotka97-81Tapiolan Honka
Tapiolan Honka89-94KTP Basket Kotka
KTP Basket Kotka87-67Tapiolan Honka

Model analysis

Estimated points180.1KTP Basket Kotka 95.5 · Tapiolan Honka 84.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KTP Basket Kotka (rating 1596 vs 1470).
KTP Basket Kotka is a clear favourite (78% market).
H2H favours KTP Basket Kotka: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	KTP Basket Kotka	Tapiolan Honka
Points F\|A (Last 10)	87.6 / 79.6	93.9 / 95.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	96.8 / 81.2	99.8 / 97.2
Est. result	96	85

Est. total180.1

Line O/U186

Diff.5.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1861.93

Under 1861.89

Diff.: 7.65 · Est. total: 178.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:04

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.26 → 1.26	Pinn 1.26
2	3.74 → 3.74	Pinn 3.74

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	2
18:35 +29’	1.26	3.74

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KTP Basket Kotka 5–0–1 Tapiolan Honka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/03/26 Finland Korisliigan	KTP Basket Kotka	89-68	Tapiolan Honka
03/02/26 Finland Korisliigan	Tapiolan Honka	93-98	KTP Basket Kotka
28/12/25 Finland Korisliigan	Tapiolan Honka	89-84	KTP Basket Kotka
21/10/25 Finland Korisliigan	KTP Basket Kotka	97-81	Tapiolan Honka
28/02/25 Finland Korisliigan	Tapiolan Honka	89-94	KTP Basket Kotka
26/02/25 Finland Korisliigan	KTP Basket Kotka	87-67	Tapiolan Honka

Standings · Finland Korisliigan

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KTP Basket Kotka	7	7	0	655	548	14
2	Kipina Basket	7	6	1	682	628	12
3	Tapiolan Honka	7	5	2	705	681	10
4	Salon Vilpas	7	4	3	616	581	8
5	Tampereen Pyrinto	7	4	3	602	603	8
6	Kauhajoen Karhu	7	3	4	588	581	6
7	Lahti Basketball	7	3	4	592	609	6
8	Helsinki Seagulls	7	3	4	536	565	6
9	Kataja Basket	7	2	5	589	612	4
10	Korihait	7	2	5	602	644	4
11	Bisons Loimaa	7	2	5	512	588	4
12	Kouvot	7	1	6	587	626	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KTP Basket Kotka	Tapiolan Honka
Kouvot	99-75 W	99-91 W
Korihait	100-89 W	72-92 L
Salon Vilpas	102-81 W	107-104 W
Tampereen Pyrinto	88-72 W	97-96 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: KTP Basket Kotka (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KTP Basket Kotka

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	Kouvot Finland Korisliigan	99-75	W
21/10	Kouvot Finland Korisliigan	95-89	W
17/10	Korihait Finland Korisliigan	100-89	W
14/10	Salon Vilpas Finland Korisliigan	102-81	W
09/10	Tampereen Pyrinto Finland Korisliigan	88-72	W
03/10	Kauhajoen Karhu Finland Korisliigan	84-78	W
29/09	Bisons Loimaa Finland Korisliigan	87-64	W
09/04	Helsinki Seagulls Finland Korisliigan	70-78	L
07/04	Helsinki Seagulls Finland Korisliigan	79-89	L
05/04	Helsinki Seagulls Finland Korisliigan	72-81	L

Tapiolan Honka

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Kipina Basket Finland Korisliigan	94-96	L
21/10	Kipina Basket Finland Korisliigan	100-109	L
16/10	Lahti Basketball Finland Korisliigan	100-86	W
10/10	Kataja Basket Finland Korisliigan	108-99	W
06/10	Tampereen Pyrinto Finland Korisliigan	97-96	W
03/10	Kouvot Finland Korisliigan	99-91	W
29/09	Salon Vilpas Finland Korisliigan	107-104	W
04/04	Korihait Finland Korisliigan	72-92	L
01/04	Korihait Finland Korisliigan	72-88	L
29/03	Korihait Finland Korisliigan	90-95	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KTP Basket Kotka vs Tapiolan Honka?

Our model gives 78% to KTP Basket Kotka.

How many points are expected in KTP Basket Kotka vs Tapiolan Honka?

The model estimates 180.1 total points (KTP Basket Kotka 95.5 · Tapiolan Honka 84.6).