Prediction: Kepler BBC vs Tigers
Estimated 167.8 total points (Kepler BBC 82.7 · Tigers 85.1). Over 166.5 points (65% of recent history, magic 11).
On recent form, Kepler BBC is 3-0-7 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Tigers 7-0-3 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Kepler BBC won 1 and Tigers 5.
| Kepler BBC | Tigers | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tigers (rating 1434 vs 1561).
- Tigers is a clear favourite (83% market).
- H2H favours Tigers: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Kepler BBC | Tigers | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 78.9 / 77.7 | 100 / 86.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 82.4 / 93.6 | 103.2 / 89.2 |
| Est. result | 83 | 85 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kepler BBC 1–0–5 Tigers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 Rwanda National League | Tigers | 85-62 | Kepler BBC |
| 19/09/25 Rwanda Cup | Tigers | 81-77 | Kepler BBC |
| 17/09/25 Rwanda Cup | Kepler BBC | 81-91 | Tigers |
| 13/06/25 Rwanda National League | Tigers | 110-97 | Kepler BBC |
| 26/03/25 Rwanda National League | Kepler BBC | 54-76 | Tigers |
| 26/07/24 Rwanda National League | Kepler BBC | 85-84 | Tigers |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kepler BBC | Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Patriots BC | 78-96 L | 85-100 L |
| Azomco | 96-84 W | 120-55 W |
| Inspired Generation | 88-45 W | 95-52 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Tigers (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kepler BBC
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Rwanda Energy Group Rwanda National League |
78-96 | L |
| 12/06 | APR BBC Rwanda National League |
84-113 | L |
| 10/06 | United Generations Rwanda National League |
76-79 | L |
| 05/06 | Patriots BC Rwanda National League |
78-96 | L |
| 19/04 | Azomco Rwanda National League |
96-84 | W |
| 15/04 | Inspired Generation Rwanda National League |
88-45 | W |
| 13/03 | Inspired Generation Rwanda National League |
99-46 | W |
| 08/03 | Rwanda Energy Group Rwanda National League |
67-70 | L |
| 04/03 | Patriots BC Rwanda National League |
61-65 | L |
| 27/02 | APR BBC Rwanda National League |
62-83 | L |
Tigers
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Azomco Rwanda National League |
120-55 | W |
| 12/06 | Patriots BC Rwanda National League |
85-100 | L |
| 10/06 | EAU Rwanda Rwanda National League |
115-106 | W |
| 31/05 | Atletico Petroleos de Luanda Basketball Africa League |
90-88 | W |
| 27/05 | Al Ahly Egypt Basketball Africa League |
106-97 | W |
| 24/05 | FUS Rabat Basketball Africa League |
98-99 | L |
| 22/05 | FUS Rabat Basketball Africa League |
95-72 | W |
| 17/04 | Inspired Generation Rwanda National League |
95-52 | W |
| 05/04 | Nairobi City Thunder Basketball Africa League |
92-101 | L |
| 04/04 | DAR City Basketball Africa League |
104-92 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kepler BBC vs Tigers?
Our model gives 83% to Tigers.
How many points are expected in Kepler BBC vs Tigers?
The model estimates 167.8 total points (Kepler BBC 82.7 · Tigers 85.1).
Over or under 166.5 points?
Recent history points to over 166.5 points (65%).