Basketball · Rwanda National League · 15/07, 18:30
Prediction: EAU Rwanda vs Tigers
Prediction summary
Estimated points
180.5Total
EAU Rwanda84.9
Tigers95.7
1X2
EAU Rwanda
Tigers
Recent form · 10 last
EAU Rwanda
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Tigers
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
EAU Rwanda
0–1
Tigers
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · EAU Rwanda 1482 · Tigers 1548
| EAU Rwanda | Tigers | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
Estimated total (ours)
180.5 points · Bet365 line 176.5 · +4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points180.5EAU Rwanda 84.9 · Tigers 95.7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tigers (rating 1482 vs 1548).
- Tigers is a clear favourite (78% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| EAU Rwanda | Tigers | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 91.3 / 88.8 | 97 / 80.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 97 / 91.8 | 97.2 / 80.2 |
| Est. result | 85 | 96 |
Est. total180.5
Line O/U176.5
Diff.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · EAU Rwanda 0–0–1 Tigers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/26 Rwanda National League | Tigers | 115-106 | EAU Rwanda |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | EAU Rwanda | Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Kepler BBC | 94-81 W | 73-77 L |
| Inspired Generation | 125-60 W | 95-52 W |
| Azomco | 75-71 W | 120-55 W |
| Patriots BC | 78-103 L | 85-100 L |
| United Generations | 97-106 L | 93-63 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Tigers (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
EAU Rwanda
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Kepler BBC Rwanda National League |
94-81 | W |
| 17/06 | APR BBC Rwanda National League |
93-117 | L |
| 10/06 | Tigers Rwanda National League |
106-115 | L |
| 14/05 | Inspired Generation Rwanda National League |
125-60 | W |
| 17/04 | Rwanda Energy Group Rwanda National League |
67-86 | L |
| 15/04 | Azomco Rwanda National League |
75-71 | W |
| 05/04 | Patriots BC Rwanda National League |
78-103 | L |
| 03/04 | United Generations Rwanda National League |
97-106 | L |
| 15/03 | Azomco Rwanda National League |
81-82 | L |
| 11/03 | Inspired Generation Rwanda National League |
97-67 | W |
Tigers
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | United Generations Rwanda National League |
93-63 | W |
| 10/07 | Kepler BBC Rwanda National League |
73-77 | L |
| 17/06 | Azomco Rwanda National League |
120-55 | W |
| 12/06 | Patriots BC Rwanda National League |
85-100 | L |
| 10/06 | EAU Rwanda Rwanda National League |
115-106 | W |
| 31/05 | Atletico Petroleos de Luanda Basketball Africa League |
90-88 | W |
| 27/05 | Al Ahly Egypt Basketball Africa League |
106-97 | W |
| 24/05 | FUS Rabat Basketball Africa League |
98-99 | L |
| 22/05 | FUS Rabat Basketball Africa League |
95-72 | W |
| 17/04 | Inspired Generation Rwanda National League |
95-52 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in EAU Rwanda vs Tigers?
Our model gives 78% to Tigers.
How many points are expected in EAU Rwanda vs Tigers?
The model estimates 180.5 total points (EAU Rwanda 84.9 · Tigers 95.7).