Basketball · Denmark Basketligaen · 08/11, 16:00

Prediction: Team FOG Naestved vs Bakken Bears

Team pages: Team FOG Naestved · Bakken Bears

Prediction summary

Estimated points

178.7Total

Team FOG Naestved90.4

Bakken Bears88.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

56% 44%

Team FOG Naestved Bakken Bears

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Under 182.5 points 75%

Recent form · 10 last

Team FOG Naestved 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWWWW

Bakken Bears 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Team FOG Naestved 1–5 Bakken Bears (6 last)

Team FOG Naestved81-87Bakken Bears
Bakken Bears98-86Team FOG Naestved
Team FOG Naestved81-91Bakken Bears
Bakken Bears92-93Team FOG Naestved
Team FOG Naestved61-95Bakken Bears
Bakken Bears115-89Team FOG Naestved

Model analysis

Estimated points178.7Team FOG Naestved 90.4 · Bakken Bears 88.3

Match keys

H2H favours Bakken Bears: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Team FOG Naestved	Bakken Bears
Points F\|A (Last 10)	100.6 / 71.1	101.5 / 78.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	100 / 74.8	109.6 / 77
Est. result	90	88

Est. total178.7

Line O/U182.5

Diff.3.8

Over / Under25% / 75%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 182.51.86

Under 182.51.88

Diff.: 6.85 · Est. total: 175.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:57

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.93 → 1.93	Pinn 1.93
2	1.81 → 1.81	Pinn 1.81

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	2
16:21 +35’	1.93	1.81

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Team FOG Naestved 1–0–5 Bakken Bears

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/05/26 Denmark Basketligaen	Team FOG Naestved	81-87	Bakken Bears
21/05/26 Denmark Basketligaen	Bakken Bears	98-86	Team FOG Naestved
18/05/26 Denmark Basketligaen	Team FOG Naestved	81-91	Bakken Bears
14/05/26 Denmark Basketligaen	Bakken Bears	92-93	Team FOG Naestved
10/04/26 Denmark Basketligaen	Team FOG Naestved	61-95	Bakken Bears
19/03/26 Denmark Basketligaen	Bakken Bears	115-89	Team FOG Naestved

Standings · Denmark Basketligaen

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Team FOG Naestved	9	9	0	925	624	18
2	Bakken Bears	7	7	0	739	533	14
3	Horsens IC	9	7	2	794	719	14
4	Svendborg Rabbits	8	6	2	729	660	12
5	Randers Cimbria	8	5	3	762	686	10
6	Copenhagen Basketball	8	5	3	666	638	10
7	Holbæk-Stenhus	9	4	5	693	794	8
8	Gladsaxe	9	2	7	704	804	4
9	Vaerlose	9	2	7	721	831	4
10	BK Vejen	8	2	6	648	764	4
11	BMS Herlev	9	1	8	683	878	2
12	Bears Academy	9	1	8	703	836	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Team FOG Naestved	Bakken Bears
Vaerlose	95-62 W	123-82 W
Bears Academy	113-80 W	108-84 W
Gladsaxe	99-67 W	112-75 W
BMS Herlev	117-55 W	105-67 W
Horsens IC	101-73 W	83-64 W
Holbæk-Stenhus	117-56 W	105-75 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 0 L	6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Team FOG Naestved (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Team FOG Naestved

LWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/11	Vaerlose Denmark Basketligaen	95-62	W
28/10	Bears Academy Denmark Basketligaen	113-80	W
24/10	Gladsaxe Denmark Basketligaen	99-67	W
19/10	BK Vejen Denmark Basketligaen	107-82	W
15/10	Svendborg Rabbits Denmark Basketligaen	86-83	W
10/10	BMS Herlev Denmark Basketligaen	117-55	W
30/09	Copenhagen Basketball Denmark Basketligaen	90-66	W
27/09	Horsens IC Denmark Basketligaen	101-73	W
24/09	Holbæk-Stenhus Denmark Basketligaen	117-56	W
25/05	Bakken Bears Denmark Basketligaen	81-87	L

Bakken Bears

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	Holbæk-Stenhus Denmark Basketligaen	105-75	W
24/10	BMS Herlev Denmark Basketligaen	105-67	W
18/10	Vaerlose Denmark Basketligaen	123-82	W
10/10	Randers Cimbria Denmark Basketligaen	103-86	W
30/09	Gladsaxe Denmark Basketligaen	112-75	W
27/09	Bears Academy Denmark Basketligaen	108-84	W
24/09	Horsens IC Denmark Basketligaen	83-64	W
25/05	Team FOG Naestved Denmark Basketligaen	87-81	W
21/05	Team FOG Naestved Denmark Basketligaen	98-86	W
18/05	Team FOG Naestved Denmark Basketligaen	91-81	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Team FOG Naestved vs Bakken Bears?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Team FOG Naestved 56% · Bakken Bears 44%).

How many points are expected in Team FOG Naestved vs Bakken Bears?

The model estimates 178.7 total points (Team FOG Naestved 90.4 · Bakken Bears 88.3).