Basketball · Denmark Basketligaen · 24/09, 19:00
Prediction: Team FOG Naestved vs Holbæk-Stenhus
Prediction summary
Estimated points
184.1Total
Team FOG Naestved96.5
Holbæk-Stenhus87.5
1X2
Team FOG Naestved
Holbæk-Stenhus
Markets
Under 185.5 points 80%
Recent form · 10 last
Team FOG Naestved
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Holbæk-Stenhus
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Team FOG Naestved
6–0
Holbæk-Stenhus
(6 last)
- Team FOG Naestved113-93Holbæk-Stenhus
- Holbæk-Stenhus87-120Team FOG Naestved
- Holbæk-Stenhus92-112Team FOG Naestved
- Holbæk-Stenhus49-107Team FOG Naestved
- Team FOG Naestved107-85Holbæk-Stenhus
- Holbæk-Stenhus73-92Team FOG Naestved
Model analysis
Estimated points184.1Team FOG Naestved 96.5 · Holbæk-Stenhus 87.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Team FOG Naestved (rating 1522 vs 1426).
- Team FOG Naestved is a clear favourite (74% market).
- H2H favours Team FOG Naestved: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Team FOG Naestved | Holbæk-Stenhus | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 89.6 / 90 | 85 / 87.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 87.2 / 89.6 | 88.2 / 94.2 |
| Est. result | 97 | 88 |
Est. total184.1
Line O/U185.5
Diff.1.4
Over / Under20% / 80%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Team FOG Naestved 6–0–0 Holbæk-Stenhus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/26 Denmark Basketligaen | Team FOG Naestved | 113-93 | Holbæk-Stenhus |
| 09/01/26 Denmark Basketligaen | Holbæk-Stenhus | 87-120 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 07/12/25 Denmark Cup | Holbæk-Stenhus | 92-112 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 28/01/25 Denmark Basketligaen | Holbæk-Stenhus | 49-107 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 29/10/24 Denmark Basketligaen | Team FOG Naestved | 107-85 | Holbæk-Stenhus |
| 24/01/24 Denmark Basketligaen | Holbæk-Stenhus | 73-92 | Team FOG Naestved |
Standings · Denmark Basketligaen
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Copenhagen Basketball | 1 | 1 | 0 | 88 | 74 | 2 |
| 2 | Horsens IC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 92 | 70 | 2 |
| 3 | Randers Cimbria | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 84 | 2 |
| 4 | BMS Herlev | 1 | 1 | 0 | 82 | 75 | 2 |
| 5 | Vaerlose | 2 | 1 | 1 | 162 | 166 | 2 |
| 6 | Bakken Bears | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | BK Vejen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Team FOG Naestved | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Bears Academy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 75 | 82 | 0 |
| 10 | Gladsaxe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 78 | 88 | 0 |
| 11 | Holbæk-Stenhus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 84 | 100 | 0 |
| 12 | Svendborg Rabbits | 1 | 0 | 1 | 70 | 92 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Team FOG Naestved
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05 | Bakken Bears Denmark Basketligaen |
81-87 | L |
| 21/05 | Bakken Bears Denmark Basketligaen |
86-98 | L |
| 18/05 | Bakken Bears Denmark Basketligaen |
81-91 | L |
| 14/05 | Bakken Bears Denmark Basketligaen |
93-92 | W |
| 07/05 | Svendborg Rabbits Denmark Basketligaen |
95-80 | W |
| 04/05 | Svendborg Rabbits Denmark Basketligaen |
111-87 | W |
| 30/04 | Svendborg Rabbits Denmark Basketligaen |
75-63 | W |
| 27/04 | Svendborg Rabbits Denmark Basketligaen |
88-101 | L |
| 20/04 | Horsens IC Denmark Basketligaen |
82-103 | L |
| 17/04 | Copenhagen Basketball Denmark Basketligaen |
104-98 | W |
Holbæk-Stenhus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Randers Cimbria Denmark Basketligaen |
84-100 | L |
| 23/04 | Vaerlose Denmark Basketligaen |
83-89 | L |
| 17/04 | BK Vejen Denmark Basketligaen |
103-83 | W |
| 12/04 | Bears Academy Denmark Basketligaen |
85-101 | L |
| 08/04 | BK Amager Denmark Basketligaen |
86-98 | L |
| 01/04 | BMS Herlev Denmark Basketligaen |
80-65 | W |
| 28/03 | Vaerlose Denmark Basketligaen |
80-87 | L |
| 21/03 | BK Vejen Denmark Basketligaen |
90-93 | L |
| 14/03 | Bears Academy Denmark Basketligaen |
84-80 | W |
| 11/03 | BK Amager Denmark Basketligaen |
75-83 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Team FOG Naestved vs Holbæk-Stenhus?
Our model gives 74% to Team FOG Naestved.
How many points are expected in Team FOG Naestved vs Holbæk-Stenhus?
The model estimates 184.1 total points (Team FOG Naestved 96.5 · Holbæk-Stenhus 87.5).