Basketball · Denmark Basketligaen · 30/09, 19:00
Prediction: Team FOG Naestved vs Copenhagen Basketball
Team pages: Team FOG Naestved
Prediction summary
Estimated points
175.9Total
Team FOG Naestved96.9
Copenhagen Basketball79
1X2
Team FOG Naestved
Copenhagen Basketball
Markets
Under 176.5 points 65%
Recent form · 10 last
Team FOG Naestved
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Copenhagen Basketball
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Team FOG Naestved
4–2
Copenhagen Basketball
(6 last)
- Copenhagen Basketball98-104Team FOG Naestved
- Team FOG Naestved100-98Copenhagen Basketball
- Team FOG Naestved100-81Copenhagen Basketball
- Copenhagen Basketball91-106Team FOG Naestved
- Copenhagen Basketball112-104Team FOG Naestved
- Team FOG Naestved87-99Copenhagen Basketball
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Team FOG Naestved 1567 · Copenhagen Basketball 1427
| Team FOG Naestved | Copenhagen Basketball | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 21% |
| Market | 92% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
175.9 points · Bet365 line 176.5 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points175.9Team FOG Naestved 96.9 · Copenhagen Basketball 79
Over / Under 176.5Under · 65%recent trend · ~166.8 pts · strength 10
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Team FOG Naestved (rating 1567 vs 1427).
- Team FOG Naestved is a clear favourite (90% market).
- H2H favours Team FOG Naestved: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Team FOG Naestved | Copenhagen Basketball | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 92.8 / 82.8 | 79.8 / 87.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 93.2 / 81 | 78.8 / 82 |
| Est. result | 97 | 79 |
Est. total175.9
Line O/U176.5
Diff.0.6
Over / Under35% / 65%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Team FOG Naestved 4–0–2 Copenhagen Basketball
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Denmark Basketligaen | Copenhagen Basketball | 98-104 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 26/03/26 Denmark Basketligaen | Team FOG Naestved | 100-98 | Copenhagen Basketball |
| 05/02/26 Denmark Basketligaen | Team FOG Naestved | 100-81 | Copenhagen Basketball |
| 29/10/25 Denmark Basketligaen | Copenhagen Basketball | 91-106 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 11/04/25 Denmark Basketligaen | Copenhagen Basketball | 112-104 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 03/03/25 Denmark Basketligaen | Team FOG Naestved | 87-99 | Copenhagen Basketball |
Standings · Denmark Basketligaen
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Svendborg Rabbits | 3 | 2 | 1 | 252 | 250 | 4 |
| 2 | Team FOG Naestved | 2 | 2 | 0 | 218 | 129 | 4 |
| 3 | Bakken Bears | 2 | 2 | 0 | 191 | 148 | 4 |
| 4 | Copenhagen Basketball | 2 | 2 | 0 | 165 | 136 | 4 |
| 5 | Randers Cimbria | 3 | 2 | 1 | 272 | 265 | 4 |
| 6 | Bears Academy | 3 | 1 | 2 | 251 | 250 | 2 |
| 7 | Gladsaxe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 242 | 235 | 2 |
| 8 | Vaerlose | 3 | 1 | 2 | 247 | 255 | 2 |
| 9 | BK Vejen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 166 | 187 | 2 |
| 10 | BMS Herlev | 3 | 1 | 2 | 247 | 283 | 2 |
| 11 | Horsens IC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 229 | 254 | 2 |
| 12 | Holbæk-Stenhus | 3 | 0 | 3 | 215 | 303 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Team FOG Naestved | Copenhagen Basketball |
|---|---|---|
| Horsens IC | 101-73 W | 79-86 L |
| Bakken Bears | 81-87 L | 82-96 L |
| Svendborg Rabbits | 95-80 W | 68-73 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Team FOG Naestved (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Team FOG Naestved
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Horsens IC Denmark Basketligaen |
101-73 | W |
| 24/09 | Holbæk-Stenhus Denmark Basketligaen |
117-56 | W |
| 25/05 | Bakken Bears Denmark Basketligaen |
81-87 | L |
| 21/05 | Bakken Bears Denmark Basketligaen |
86-98 | L |
| 18/05 | Bakken Bears Denmark Basketligaen |
81-91 | L |
| 14/05 | Bakken Bears Denmark Basketligaen |
93-92 | W |
| 07/05 | Svendborg Rabbits Denmark Basketligaen |
95-80 | W |
| 04/05 | Svendborg Rabbits Denmark Basketligaen |
111-87 | W |
| 30/04 | Svendborg Rabbits Denmark Basketligaen |
75-63 | W |
| 27/04 | Svendborg Rabbits Denmark Basketligaen |
88-101 | L |
Copenhagen Basketball
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Gladsaxe Denmark Basketligaen |
77-62 | W |
| 22/09 | Vaerlose Denmark Basketligaen |
88-74 | W |
| 20/04 | Randers Cimbria Denmark Basketligaen |
63-97 | L |
| 17/04 | Team FOG Naestved Denmark Basketligaen |
98-104 | L |
| 09/04 | Svendborg Rabbits Denmark Basketligaen |
68-73 | L |
| 06/04 | Bakken Bears Denmark Basketligaen |
82-96 | L |
| 29/03 | Horsens IC Denmark Basketligaen |
79-86 | L |
| 26/03 | Team FOG Naestved Denmark Basketligaen |
98-100 | L |
| 20/03 | Svendborg Rabbits Denmark Basketligaen |
80-100 | L |
| 15/03 | Bakken Bears Denmark Basketligaen |
65-80 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Team FOG Naestved vs Copenhagen Basketball?
Our model gives 90% to Team FOG Naestved.
How many points are expected in Team FOG Naestved vs Copenhagen Basketball?
The model estimates 175.9 total points (Team FOG Naestved 96.9 · Copenhagen Basketball 79).
Over or under 176.5 points?
Recent history points to under 176.5 points (65%).