Basketball · Germany Pro A · 04/10, 17:00

Prediction: Kirchheim vs Medi Bayreuth

Team pages: Kirchheim · Medi Bayreuth

Prediction summary

Estimated points

170.9Total

Kirchheim89.5

Medi Bayreuth81.4

1X2

72% 28%

Kirchheim Medi Bayreuth

Markets

Over 165 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

Kirchheim 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Medi Bayreuth 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Kirchheim 2–4 Medi Bayreuth (6 last)

Medi Bayreuth84-83Kirchheim
Kirchheim90-99Medi Bayreuth
Medi Bayreuth84-100Kirchheim
Kirchheim74-93Medi Bayreuth
Kirchheim87-67Medi Bayreuth
Medi Bayreuth91-84Kirchheim

Model analysis

Estimated points170.9Kirchheim 89.5 · Medi Bayreuth 81.4

Over / Under 165Over · 70%recent trend · ~171.2 pts · strength 6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kirchheim (rating 1545 vs 1473).
Kirchheim is a clear favourite (72% market).
H2H favours Medi Bayreuth: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Kirchheim	Medi Bayreuth
Points F\|A (Last 10)	87.6 / 79.8	86.2 / 87.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	87.6 / 80.6	90.4 / 91.2
Est. result	90	81

Est. total170.9

Line O/U165

Diff.5.9

Over / Under70% / 30%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1651.88

Under 1651.86

Diff.: 5.55 · Est. total: 170.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:27

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Pinn 1.18
2	4.10 → 4.10	Pinn 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	2
22:09 +19’	1.18	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kirchheim 2–0–4 Medi Bayreuth

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/02/26 Germany Pro A	Medi Bayreuth	84-83	Kirchheim
03/01/26 Germany Pro A	Kirchheim	90-99	Medi Bayreuth
18/01/25 Germany Pro A	Medi Bayreuth	84-100	Kirchheim
16/11/24 Germany Pro A	Kirchheim	74-93	Medi Bayreuth
30/03/24 Germany Pro A	Kirchheim	87-67	Medi Bayreuth
06/01/24 Germany Pro A	Medi Bayreuth	91-84	Kirchheim

Standings · Germany Pro A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kirchheim	2	2	0	181	143	4
2	Nurnberg Falcons	2	2	0	168	154	4
3	VFL Astrostars Bochum	2	2	0	154	147	4
4	Crailsheim Merlins	1	1	0	81	67	2
5	Heidelberg Academics	1	1	0	83	75	2
6	Giessen	1	1	0	91	87	2
7	Koln Rhein Stars	1	1	0	83	80	2
8	Baskets Koblenz	2	1	1	184	175	2
9	PS Karlsruhe	2	1	1	168	162	2
10	Orange Academy	2	1	1	178	186	2
11	BG Gottingen	1	0	1	80	83	0
12	Artland Dragons	1	0	1	87	91	0
12	Paderborn Baskets	1	0	1	77	81	0
14	Tubingen	1	0	1	75	83	0
15	ETB Wohnbau Baskets Essen	1	0	1	67	81	0
16	SBB Baskets Wolmirstedt	1	0	1	58	87	0
17	Eisbaren Bremerhaven	2	0	2	162	166	0
18	Medi Bayreuth	2	0	2	169	198	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kirchheim	Medi Bayreuth
Phoenix Hagen	82-93 L	91-95 L
Giessen	89-85 W	89-79 W
BG Gottingen	90-85 W	70-93 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Medi Bayreuth (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kirchheim

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/10	Orange Academy Germany Pro A	94-85	W
26/09	SBB Baskets Wolmirstedt Germany Pro A	87-58	W
07/06	Phoenix Hagen Germany Pro A	82-93	L
04/06	Phoenix Hagen Germany Pro A	86-82	W
29/05	Giessen Germany Pro A	89-85	W
26/05	Giessen Germany Pro A	91-63	W
23/05	Giessen Germany Pro A	91-75	W
20/05	Giessen Germany Pro A	77-90	L
14/05	BG Gottingen Germany Pro A	90-85	W
12/05	BG Gottingen Germany Pro A	89-82	W

Medi Bayreuth

WWLWLLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/10	PS Karlsruhe Germany Pro A	79-89	L
27/09	Baskets Koblenz Germany Pro A	90-109	L
02/05	VFL Astrostars Bochum Germany Pro A	103-88	W
26/04	Baskets Koblenz Germany Pro A	89-75	W
18/04	Phoenix Hagen Germany Pro A	91-95	L
11/04	BG Gottingen Germany Pro A	70-93	L
04/04	Eisbaren Bremerhaven Germany Pro A	91-86	W
29/03	Artland Dragons Germany Pro A	82-89	L
21/03	Giessen Germany Pro A	89-79	W
14/03	PS Karlsruhe Germany Pro A	78-72	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kirchheim vs Medi Bayreuth?

Our model gives 72% to Kirchheim.

How many points are expected in Kirchheim vs Medi Bayreuth?

The model estimates 170.9 total points (Kirchheim 89.5 · Medi Bayreuth 81.4).

Over or under 165 points?

Recent history points to over 165 points (70%).