Basketball · Germany Pro A · 09/10, 20:00
Prediction: Crailsheim Merlins vs Giessen
Team pages: Crailsheim Merlins · Giessen
Prediction summary
Estimated points
165.8Total
Crailsheim Merlins87.2
Giessen78.6
1X2
Crailsheim Merlins
Giessen
Recent form · 10 last
Crailsheim Merlins
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Giessen
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Crailsheim Merlins
3–3
Giessen
(6 last)
- Giessen87-70Crailsheim Merlins
- Crailsheim Merlins88-86Giessen
- Giessen89-79Crailsheim Merlins
- Crailsheim Merlins77-89Giessen
- Giessen96-97Crailsheim Merlins
- Crailsheim Merlins106-82Giessen
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Crailsheim Merlins 1551 · Giessen 1497
| Crailsheim Merlins | Giessen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 74% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
165.8 points · Bet365 line 161.5 · +4.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points165.8Crailsheim Merlins 87.2 · Giessen 78.6
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Crailsheim Merlins (rating 1551 vs 1497).
- Crailsheim Merlins is a clear favourite (73% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Crailsheim Merlins | Giessen | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 85 / 78.3 | 82.1 / 82.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 83 / 70.2 | 78.8 / 83.6 |
| Est. result | 87 | 79 |
Est. total165.8
Line O/U161.5
Diff.4.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Crailsheim Merlins 3–0–3 Giessen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Germany Pro A | Giessen | 87-70 | Crailsheim Merlins |
| 13/05/26 Germany Pro A | Crailsheim Merlins | 88-86 | Giessen |
| 10/05/26 Germany Pro A | Giessen | 89-79 | Crailsheim Merlins |
| 07/05/26 Germany Pro A | Crailsheim Merlins | 77-89 | Giessen |
| 04/04/26 Germany Pro A | Giessen | 96-97 | Crailsheim Merlins |
| 25/10/25 Germany Pro A | Crailsheim Merlins | 106-82 | Giessen |
Standings · Germany Pro A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crailsheim Merlins | 3 | 3 | 0 | 257 | 178 | 6 |
| 2 | Heidelberg Academics | 3 | 3 | 0 | 285 | 217 | 6 |
| 3 | Kirchheim | 3 | 3 | 0 | 285 | 218 | 6 |
| 4 | SBB Baskets Wolmirstedt | 3 | 2 | 1 | 220 | 210 | 4 |
| 5 | Nurnberg Falcons | 3 | 2 | 1 | 229 | 240 | 4 |
| 6 | Giessen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 246 | 238 | 4 |
| 7 | Koln Rhein Stars | 3 | 2 | 1 | 247 | 255 | 4 |
| 8 | Baskets Koblenz | 3 | 2 | 1 | 276 | 255 | 4 |
| 9 | VFL Astrostars Bochum | 3 | 2 | 1 | 232 | 241 | 4 |
| 10 | Orange Academy | 3 | 1 | 2 | 246 | 270 | 2 |
| 11 | Eisbaren Bremerhaven | 3 | 1 | 2 | 246 | 247 | 2 |
| 12 | Artland Dragons | 3 | 1 | 2 | 248 | 252 | 2 |
| 12 | Tubingen | 3 | 1 | 2 | 225 | 229 | 2 |
| 14 | PS Karlsruhe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 215 | 253 | 2 |
| 15 | Paderborn Baskets | 3 | 1 | 2 | 248 | 238 | 2 |
| 16 | BG Gottingen | 3 | 0 | 3 | 211 | 253 | 0 |
| 17 | Medi Bayreuth | 3 | 0 | 3 | 244 | 302 | 0 |
| 18 | ETB Wohnbau Baskets Essen | 3 | 0 | 3 | 226 | 290 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Crailsheim Merlins
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | PS Karlsruhe Germany Pro A |
91-47 | W |
| 02/10 | Tubingen Germany Pro A |
85-64 | W |
| 26/09 | ETB Wohnbau Baskets Essen Germany Pro A |
81-67 | W |
| 15/05 | Giessen Germany Pro A |
70-87 | L |
| 13/05 | Giessen Germany Pro A |
88-86 | W |
| 10/05 | Giessen Germany Pro A |
79-89 | L |
| 07/05 | Giessen Germany Pro A |
77-89 | L |
| 02/05 | BG Gottingen Germany Pro A |
96-87 | W |
| 25/04 | Phoenix Hagen Germany Pro A |
93-90 | W |
| 18/04 | VFL Astrostars Bochum Germany Pro A |
90-77 | W |
Giessen
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | VFL Astrostars Bochum Germany Pro A |
94-78 | W |
| 02/10 | SBB Baskets Wolmirstedt Germany Pro A |
61-73 | L |
| 25/09 | Artland Dragons Germany Pro A |
91-87 | W |
| 29/05 | Kirchheim Germany Pro A |
85-89 | L |
| 26/05 | Kirchheim Germany Pro A |
63-91 | L |
| 23/05 | Kirchheim Germany Pro A |
75-91 | L |
| 20/05 | Kirchheim Germany Pro A |
90-77 | W |
| 15/05 | Crailsheim Merlins Germany Pro A |
87-70 | W |
| 13/05 | Crailsheim Merlins Germany Pro A |
86-88 | L |
| 10/05 | Crailsheim Merlins Germany Pro A |
89-79 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Crailsheim Merlins vs Giessen?
Our model gives 73% to Crailsheim Merlins.
How many points are expected in Crailsheim Merlins vs Giessen?
The model estimates 165.8 total points (Crailsheim Merlins 87.2 · Giessen 78.6).