Basketball · Germany Pro A · 30/10, 19:00

Prediction: Medi Bayreuth vs VFL Astrostars Bochum

Team pages: Medi Bayreuth · VFL Astrostars Bochum

Prediction summary

Estimated points

174.5Total

Medi Bayreuth87.1

VFL Astrostars Bochum87.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

49% 51%

Medi Bayreuth VFL Astrostars Bochum

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Medi Bayreuth 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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VFL Astrostars Bochum 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Medi Bayreuth 2–4 VFL Astrostars Bochum (6 last)

Medi Bayreuth103-88VFL Astrostars Bochum
VFL Astrostars Bochum88-80Medi Bayreuth
VFL Astrostars Bochum112-109Medi Bayreuth
Medi Bayreuth103-108VFL Astrostars Bochum
VFL Astrostars Bochum98-66Medi Bayreuth
Medi Bayreuth100-80VFL Astrostars Bochum

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Medi Bayreuth 1393 · VFL Astrostars Bochum 1452

	Medi Bayreuth	VFL Astrostars Bochum
Our model	54%	46%
Market	47%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 174.5 points · Bet365 line 174.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points174.5Medi Bayreuth 87.1 · VFL Astrostars Bochum 87.4

Match keys

H2H favours VFL Astrostars Bochum: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Medi Bayreuth	VFL Astrostars Bochum
Points F\|A (Last 10)	87 / 95.5	80.1 / 87.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	85.4 / 99	78.4 / 85
Est. result	87	87

Est. total174.5

Line O/U174.5

Diff.0

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.95

21.74

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.83

2 (-1.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 174.51.83

Under 174.51.83

Diff.: 0.5 · Est. total: 175

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
2	1.74 → 1.74	Pinn 1.83 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7% Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	2
19:16 +37’	1.95	1.74

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
19:42 +16’	1.91	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Medi Bayreuth 2–0–4 VFL Astrostars Bochum

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Germany Pro A	Medi Bayreuth	103-88	VFL Astrostars Bochum
23/12/25 Germany Pro A	VFL Astrostars Bochum	88-80	Medi Bayreuth
09/02/25 Germany Pro A	VFL Astrostars Bochum	112-109	Medi Bayreuth
21/12/24 Germany Pro A	Medi Bayreuth	103-108	VFL Astrostars Bochum
01/03/24 Germany Pro A	VFL Astrostars Bochum	98-66	Medi Bayreuth
21/10/23 Germany Pro A	Medi Bayreuth	100-80	VFL Astrostars Bochum

Standings · Germany Pro A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kirchheim	6	6	0	580	464	12
2	Crailsheim Merlins	6	5	1	498	406	10
3	Heidelberg Academics	6	5	1	513	429	10
4	Nurnberg Falcons	7	4	3	564	591	8
5	Koln Rhein Stars	7	4	3	600	626	8
6	SBB Baskets Wolmirstedt	6	5	1	450	423	6
7	Orange Academy	6	3	3	501	520	6
8	Giessen	6	3	3	481	467	6
9	Tubingen	6	3	3	485	477	6
10	Eisbaren Bremerhaven	6	3	3	496	504	6
11	Baskets Koblenz	6	3	3	498	493	6
12	Artland Dragons	6	2	4	508	514	4
13	VFL Astrostars Bochum	6	2	4	473	502	4
14	BG Gottingen	6	2	4	482	500	4
15	PS Karlsruhe	6	2	4	439	505	4
16	Paderborn Baskets	6	2	4	499	497	4
17	ETB Wohnbau Baskets Essen	6	1	5	514	576	2
18	Medi Bayreuth	6	0	6	517	604	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Medi Bayreuth

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Koln Rhein Stars Germany Pro A	98-105	L
17/10	Artland Dragons Germany Pro A	86-97	L
14/10	Orange Academy Germany Pro A	89-100	L
04/10	Kirchheim Germany Pro A	75-104	L
02/10	PS Karlsruhe Germany Pro A	79-89	L
27/09	Baskets Koblenz Germany Pro A	90-109	L
02/05	VFL Astrostars Bochum Germany Pro A	103-88	W
26/04	Baskets Koblenz Germany Pro A	89-75	W
18/04	Phoenix Hagen Germany Pro A	91-95	L
11/04	BG Gottingen Germany Pro A	70-93	L

VFL Astrostars Bochum

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	SBB Baskets Wolmirstedt Germany Pro A	73-76	L
16/10	Tubingen Germany Pro A	75-85	L
10/10	BG Gottingen Germany Pro A	93-100	L
04/10	Giessen Germany Pro A	78-94	L
02/10	Eisbaren Bremerhaven Germany Pro A	73-70	W
26/09	Paderborn Baskets Germany Pro A	81-77	W
02/05	Medi Bayreuth Germany Pro A	88-103	L
25/04	Uni Baskets Munster Germany Pro A	96-84	W
18/04	Crailsheim Merlins Germany Pro A	77-90	L
11/04	Giessen Germany Pro A	67-95	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Medi Bayreuth vs VFL Astrostars Bochum?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Medi Bayreuth 49% · VFL Astrostars Bochum 51%).

How many points are expected in Medi Bayreuth vs VFL Astrostars Bochum?

The model estimates 174.5 total points (Medi Bayreuth 87.1 · VFL Astrostars Bochum 87.4).