Basketball · BNXT League · 02/10, 20:00
Prediction: Kortrijk Spurs vs Donar Groningen
Prediction summary
Estimated points
167.3Total
Kortrijk Spurs86.6
Donar Groningen80.8
1X2
Kortrijk Spurs
Donar Groningen
Recent form · 10 last
Kortrijk Spurs
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Donar Groningen
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kortrijk Spurs
3–1
Donar Groningen
(4 last)
- Donar Groningen105-84Kortrijk Spurs
- Kortrijk Spurs80-76Donar Groningen
- Kortrijk Spurs124-79Donar Groningen
- Donar Groningen70-99Kortrijk Spurs
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kortrijk Spurs 1564 · Donar Groningen 1461
| Kortrijk Spurs | Donar Groningen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 25% |
| Market | 64% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
167.3 points · Bet365 line 167.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points167.3Kortrijk Spurs 86.6 · Donar Groningen 80.8
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kortrijk Spurs (rating 1564 vs 1461).
- Kortrijk Spurs is a clear favourite (66% market).
- H2H favours Kortrijk Spurs: 3-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Kortrijk Spurs | Donar Groningen | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 89.7 / 80.3 | 81.8 / 80 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 89 / 80.4 | 82.2 / 76.8 |
| Est. result | 87 | 81 |
Est. total167.3
Line O/U167.5
Diff.0.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kortrijk Spurs 3–0–1 Donar Groningen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 BNXT League | Donar Groningen | 105-84 | Kortrijk Spurs |
| 24/10/25 BNXT League | Kortrijk Spurs | 80-76 | Donar Groningen |
| 17/01/25 BNXT League | Kortrijk Spurs | 124-79 | Donar Groningen |
| 28/09/24 BNXT League | Donar Groningen | 70-99 | Kortrijk Spurs |
Standings · BNXT League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antwerp Giants | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Oostende | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brussels Basketball | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CB Liege | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Donar Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Den Bosch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kangoeroes Basket | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kortrijk Spurs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Landstede Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leuven Bears | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Limburg United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Okapi Aalst | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rotterdam City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Spirou Charleroi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mons-Hainaut | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ZZ Leiden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kortrijk Spurs | Donar Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| Landstede Zwolle | 83-70 W | 78-67 W |
| Oostende | 96-80 W | 84-82 W |
| Spirou Charleroi | 84-86 L | 97-100 L |
| Limburg United | 111-114 L | 71-82 L |
| Rotterdam City | 77-74 W | 90-76 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Kortrijk Spurs (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kortrijk Spurs
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05 | Landstede Zwolle BNXT League |
83-70 | W |
| 06/05 | Oostende BNXT League |
96-80 | W |
| 02/05 | Leuven Bears BNXT League |
97-86 | W |
| 24/04 | Den Helder BNXT League |
85-80 | W |
| 19/04 | Spirou Charleroi BNXT League |
84-86 | L |
| 17/04 | Spirou Charleroi BNXT League |
75-68 | W |
| 11/04 | ZZ Leiden BNXT League |
93-69 | W |
| 03/04 | Limburg United BNXT League |
111-114 | L |
| 01/04 | Mons-Hainaut BNXT League |
96-76 | W |
| 27/03 | Rotterdam City BNXT League |
77-74 | W |
Donar Groningen
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05 | Limburg United BNXT League |
71-82 | L |
| 06/05 | Rotterdam City BNXT League |
90-76 | W |
| 03/05 | Oostende BNXT League |
84-82 | W |
| 28/04 | Den Bosch BNXT League |
67-81 | L |
| 25/04 | Kangoeroes Basket BNXT League |
99-63 | W |
| 22/04 | LWD Basket BNXT League |
88-89 | L |
| 19/04 | Landstede Zwolle BNXT League |
78-67 | W |
| 15/04 | Landstede Zwolle BNXT League |
61-86 | L |
| 11/04 | Spirou Charleroi BNXT League |
97-100 | L |
| 08/04 | Spirou Charleroi BNXT League |
83-74 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kortrijk Spurs vs Donar Groningen?
Our model gives 66% to Kortrijk Spurs.
How many points are expected in Kortrijk Spurs vs Donar Groningen?
The model estimates 167.3 total points (Kortrijk Spurs 86.6 · Donar Groningen 80.8).