Basketball · BNXT League · 03/10, 20:30

Prediction: Leuven Bears vs Spirou Charleroi

Prediction summary
Estimated points
163.6Total
Leuven Bears82.1
Spirou Charleroi81.4
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
52% 48%
Leuven Bears Spirou Charleroi

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
Leuven Bears 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LLWLWLLLWW
Spirou Charleroi 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
WLWLWWLLWL
Head-to-head
Leuven Bears 3–3 Spirou Charleroi (6 last)
  • Spirou Charleroi73-69Leuven Bears
  • Leuven Bears84-65Spirou Charleroi
  • Leuven Bears91-95Spirou Charleroi
  • Spirou Charleroi69-72Leuven Bears
  • Leuven Bears73-69Spirou Charleroi
  • Spirou Charleroi82-78Leuven Bears
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leuven Bears 1501 · Spirou Charleroi 1510
Leuven BearsSpirou Charleroi
Our model61%39%
Market50%50%
Estimated total (ours) 163.6 points · Bet365 line 161.5 · +2.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points163.6Leuven Bears 82.1 · Spirou Charleroi 81.4

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

Leuven BearsSpirou Charleroi
Points F|A (Last 10)77.6 / 79.181.2 / 83.4
Points F|A (Last 5)71.8 / 72.479.6 / 84
Est. result8281
Est. total163.6
Line O/U161.5
Diff.2.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Leuven Bears 3–0–3 Spirou Charleroi

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/04/26
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi73-69Leuven Bears
07/02/26
Belgium Cup
Leuven Bears84-65Spirou Charleroi
04/10/25
BNXT League
Leuven Bears91-95Spirou Charleroi
17/04/25
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi69-72Leuven Bears
01/12/24
BNXT League
Leuven Bears73-69Spirou Charleroi
02/02/24
BNXT Belgium
Spirou Charleroi82-78Leuven Bears

Standings · BNXT League

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Donar Groningen 110 85760
1 Kangoeroes Basket 110 1091000
3 ZZ Leiden 110 76710
4 Antwerp Giants 000 000
4 Oostende 000 000
4 Brussels Basketball 000 000
4 CB Liege 000 000
4 Den Bosch 000 000
4 Landstede Zwolle 000 000
4 Leuven Bears 000 000
4 Okapi Aalst 000 000
4 Spirou Charleroi 000 000
4 Mons-Hainaut 000 000
14 Rotterdam City 101 71760
15 Kortrijk Spurs 101 76850
15 Limburg United 101 1001090

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLeuven BearsSpirou Charleroi
Landstede Zwolle 69-61 W 77-78 L
Kortrijk Spurs 86-97 L 86-84 W
Mons-Hainaut 91-88 W 101-79 W
Antwerp Giants 81-87 L 82-95 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leuven Bears

LLWLWLLLWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
09/05 Basketball Academie Limburg
BNXT League
77-65 W
06/05 Landstede Zwolle
BNXT League
69-61 W
02/05 Kortrijk Spurs
BNXT League
86-97 L
23/04 Spirou Charleroi
BNXT League
69-73 L
19/04 Den Bosch
BNXT League
58-66 L
16/04 Den Bosch
BNXT League
88-85 W
10/04 Rotterdam City
BNXT League
75-85 L
04/04 Mons-Hainaut
BNXT League
91-88 W
01/04 Antwerp Giants
BNXT League
81-87 L
29/03 LWD Basket
BNXT League
82-84 L

Spirou Charleroi

WLWLWWLLWL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
09/05 Antwerp Giants
BNXT League
82-95 L
06/05 Mons-Hainaut
BNXT League
101-79 W
03/05 Landstede Zwolle
BNXT League
77-78 L
28/04 Antwerp Giants
BNXT League
65-99 L
23/04 Leuven Bears
BNXT League
73-69 W
19/04 Kortrijk Spurs
BNXT League
86-84 W
17/04 Kortrijk Spurs
BNXT League
68-75 L
11/04 Donar Groningen
BNXT League
100-97 W
08/04 Donar Groningen
BNXT League
74-83 L
04/04 Oostende
BNXT League
86-75 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leuven Bears vs Spirou Charleroi?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Leuven Bears 52% · Spirou Charleroi 48%).

How many points are expected in Leuven Bears vs Spirou Charleroi?

The model estimates 163.6 total points (Leuven Bears 82.1 · Spirou Charleroi 81.4).