Basketball · BNXT League · 02/10, 20:00
Prediction: Rotterdam City vs ZZ Leiden
Prediction summary
Estimated points
170.7Total
Rotterdam City84
ZZ Leiden86.8
1X2
Rotterdam City
ZZ Leiden
Recent form · 10 last
Rotterdam City
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
ZZ Leiden
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rotterdam City
0–2
ZZ Leiden
(2 last)
- Rotterdam City73-75ZZ Leiden
- ZZ Leiden111-68Rotterdam City
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rotterdam City 1389 · ZZ Leiden 1514
| Rotterdam City | ZZ Leiden | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
Estimated total (ours)
170.7 points · Bet365 line 163.5 · +7.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points170.7Rotterdam City 84 · ZZ Leiden 86.8
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ZZ Leiden (rating 1389 vs 1514).
- H2H favours ZZ Leiden: 2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Rotterdam City | ZZ Leiden | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 77.9 / 94.4 | 84 / 87.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 79.2 / 98.2 | 93.2 / 89 |
| Est. result | 84 | 87 |
Est. total170.7
Line O/U163.5
Diff.7.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rotterdam City 0–0–2 ZZ Leiden
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/26 BNXT League | Rotterdam City | 73-75 | ZZ Leiden |
| 04/10/25 BNXT League | ZZ Leiden | 111-68 | Rotterdam City |
Standings · BNXT League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antwerp Giants | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Oostende | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brussels Basketball | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CB Liege | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Donar Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Den Bosch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kangoeroes Basket | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kortrijk Spurs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Landstede Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leuven Bears | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Limburg United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Okapi Aalst | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rotterdam City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Spirou Charleroi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mons-Hainaut | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ZZ Leiden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rotterdam City | ZZ Leiden |
|---|---|---|
| Donar Groningen | 76-90 L | 65-75 L |
| Okapi Aalst | 92-102 L | 85-97 L |
| Limburg United | 89-119 L | 61-89 L |
| Kortrijk Spurs | 74-77 L | 69-93 L |
| Den Helder | 65-99 L | 110-102 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 5 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: ZZ Leiden (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rotterdam City
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05 | Kangoeroes Basket BNXT League |
73-97 | L |
| 06/05 | Donar Groningen BNXT League |
76-90 | L |
| 02/05 | Okapi Aalst BNXT League |
92-102 | L |
| 26/04 | Brussels Basketball BNXT League |
66-83 | L |
| 19/04 | Limburg United BNXT League |
89-119 | L |
| 17/04 | Limburg United BNXT League |
81-101 | L |
| 10/04 | Leuven Bears BNXT League |
85-75 | W |
| 06/04 | Landstede Zwolle BNXT League |
78-101 | L |
| 27/03 | Kortrijk Spurs BNXT League |
74-77 | L |
| 21/03 | Den Helder BNXT League |
65-99 | L |
ZZ Leiden
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05 | Den Helder BNXT League |
110-102 | W |
| 06/05 | LWD Basket BNXT League |
100-74 | W |
| 01/05 | Den Bosch BNXT League |
93-75 | W |
| 25/04 | Okapi Aalst BNXT League |
85-97 | L |
| 20/04 | Antwerp Giants BNXT League |
78-97 | L |
| 17/04 | Antwerp Giants BNXT League |
92-96 | L |
| 11/04 | Kortrijk Spurs BNXT League |
69-93 | L |
| 04/04 | Donar Groningen BNXT League |
65-75 | L |
| 01/04 | Spirou Charleroi BNXT League |
87-81 | W |
| 27/03 | Limburg United BNXT League |
61-89 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rotterdam City vs ZZ Leiden?
Our model gives 58% to ZZ Leiden.
How many points are expected in Rotterdam City vs ZZ Leiden?
The model estimates 170.7 total points (Rotterdam City 84 · ZZ Leiden 86.8).