Prediction: Colon vs Olimpia
Estimated 157.7 total points (Colon 75.6 · Olimpia 82.1).
Recent form leaves Colon with 0 wins, 0 draws and 10 losses over 10 games; Olimpia has piled up 5-0-5 in the same span. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Colon won 0 and Olimpia 5.
| Colon | Olimpia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olimpia (rating 1377 vs 1523).
- Olimpia is a clear favourite (82% market).
- H2H favours Olimpia: 5-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Colon | Olimpia | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 69.1 / 83.9 | 84.1 / 81.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 68.2 / 86.4 | 91.8 / 82.6 |
| Est. result | 76 | 82 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colon 0–0–5 Olimpia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/25 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Colon | 64-66 | Olimpia |
| 12/06/25 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Olimpia | 90-81 | Colon |
| 04/09/24 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Colon | 67-90 | Olimpia |
| 10/07/24 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Olimpia | 98-85 | Colon |
| 29/07/23 Uruguay Metro League | Olimpia | 86-66 | Colon |
Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trouville | 5 | 5 | 0 | 454 | 359 | 10 |
| 2 | Stockolmo | 5 | 5 | 0 | 419 | 336 | 10 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 5 | 4 | 1 | 459 | 413 | 9 |
| 4 | Verdirrojo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 398 | 362 | 9 |
| 5 | Larre Borges | 5 | 3 | 2 | 419 | 401 | 8 |
| 6 | Tabare | 5 | 3 | 2 | 442 | 380 | 8 |
| 7 | Olivol Mundial | 5 | 2 | 3 | 352 | 398 | 7 |
| 8 | Lagomar | 5 | 2 | 3 | 372 | 408 | 7 |
| 9 | Sayago | 5 | 2 | 3 | 385 | 412 | 7 |
| 10 | Albatros | 5 | 2 | 3 | 407 | 452 | 7 |
| 11 | Montevideo | 5 | 1 | 4 | 438 | 454 | 6 |
| 12 | Urupan de Pando | 5 | 1 | 4 | 373 | 393 | 6 |
| 13 | Marne | 5 | 1 | 4 | 364 | 423 | 6 |
| 14 | Colon | 5 | 0 | 5 | 341 | 432 | 5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Colon | Olimpia |
|---|---|---|
| Verdirrojo | 84-91 L | 70-80 L |
| Albatros | 80-93 L | 101-75 W |
| Lagomar | 73-78 L | 70-67 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Olimpia (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colon
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
53-98 | L |
| 25/06 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
49-73 | L |
| 19/06 | Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
75-77 | L |
| 11/06 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
84-91 | L |
| 06/06 | Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
80-93 | L |
| 23/08 | Larranaga Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
75-89 | L |
| 19/08 | Larranaga Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
69-89 | L |
| 14/08 | CA Atenas Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
61-72 | L |
| 09/08 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
73-78 | L |
| 06/08 | Larranaga Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
72-79 | L |
Olimpia
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
101-75 | W |
| 24/06 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
96-77 | W |
| 19/06 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
70-67 | W |
| 12/06 | Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
103-113 | L |
| 05/06 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
89-81 | W |
| 30/08 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
70-80 | L |
| 23/08 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
87-79 | W |
| 19/08 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
72-79 | L |
| 14/08 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
79-89 | L |
| 09/08 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
74-79 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colon vs Olimpia?
Our model gives 82% to Olimpia.
How many points are expected in Colon vs Olimpia?
The model estimates 157.7 total points (Colon 75.6 · Olimpia 82.1).