Prediction: Albatros vs Sayago

Estimated 164.1 total points (Albatros 79.4 · Sayago 84.8).

Over its last 10 matches, Albatros sits at 3-0-7 (W-D-L), while Sayago arrives on a 6-0-4 run. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Albatros won 0 and Sayago 3.

57%2
43% 57%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Albatros 1438 · Sayago 1533
AlbatrosSayago
Our model49%51%
Market41%59%
Estimated total (ours) 164.1 points · Bet365 line 160.5 · +3.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points164.1Albatros 79.4 · Sayago 84.8

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sayago (rating 1438 vs 1533).
  • H2H favours Sayago: 3-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

AlbatrosSayago
Points F|A (Last 10)77.6 / 90.283.6 / 80
Points F|A (Last 5)71.4 / 93.481 / 78
Est. result7985
Est. total164.1
Line O/U160.5
Diff.3.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Albatros 003 Sayago

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/11/25
Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso
Sayago105-74Albatros
20/10/25
Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso
Sayago109-95Albatros
04/09/25
Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso
Sayago71-53Albatros

Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Trouville 770 65450614
2 Stockolmo 761 57147913
3 Olimpia 761 63656013
4 Tabare 752 59451712
5 Verdirrojo 752 55350912
6 Larre Borges 734 55957510
7 Sayago 734 55056210
8 Olivol Mundial 734 48653810
9 Lagomar 633 4624969
10 Albatros 725 5406259
11 Urupan de Pando 624 4654838
12 Marne 716 5115838
13 Montevideo 716 5936388
14 Colon 716 4825858

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAlbatrosSayago
Trouville 67-103 L 79-93 L
Olivol Mundial 66-70 L 66-79 L
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Albatros

LWLWWLLLLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
08/07 Trouville
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
67-103 L
05/07 Olivol Mundial
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
66-70 L
30/06 Olimpia
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
75-101 L
24/06 Tabare
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
79-97 L
19/06 Stockolmo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
70-96 L
11/06 Marne
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
90-78 W
06/06 Colon
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
93-80 W
19/11 Sayago
Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso
74-105 L
13/11 Olivol Mundial
Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso
92-86 W
10/11 Olivol Mundial
Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso
70-86 L

Sayago

WWWLLLWWLW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
08/07 Larre Borges
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
77-60 W
05/07 Lagomar
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
88-90 L
01/07 Montevideo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
90-83 W
25/06 Urupan de Pando
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
82-75 W
18/06 Verdirrojo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
68-82 L
12/06 Trouville
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
79-93 L
06/06 Olivol Mundial
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
66-79 L
19/11 Albatros
Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso
105-74 W
09/11 Reducto
Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso
89-82 W
06/11 Reducto
Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso
92-82 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Albatros vs Sayago?

Our model gives 57% to Sayago.

How many points are expected in Albatros vs Sayago?

The model estimates 164.1 total points (Albatros 79.4 · Sayago 84.8).