Basketball · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · 05/07, 00:00
Prediction: Lagomar vs Sayago
Estimated 161.7 total points (Lagomar 80.4 · Sayago 81.3).
Over its last 10 matches, Lagomar sits at 5-0-5 (W-D-L), while Sayago arrives on a 7-0-3 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Lagomar and 4 for Sayago.
59%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lagomar 1508 · Sayago 1543
| Lagomar | Sayago | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
161.7 points · Bet365 line 157.5 · +4.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points161.7Lagomar 80.4 · Sayago 81.3
Match keys
- H2H favours Sayago: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Lagomar | Sayago | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 78.7 / 78.9 | 87.5 / 79.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 74.4 / 81.6 | 77 / 82.4 |
| Est. result | 80 | 81 |
Est. total161.7
Line O/U157.5
Diff.4.2
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lagomar 2–0–4 Sayago
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/24 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Sayago | 67-66 | Lagomar |
| 29/06/24 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Lagomar | 61-65 | Sayago |
| 05/07/23 Uruguay Metro League | Lagomar | 88-90 | Sayago |
| 03/09/22 Uruguay Metro League | Lagomar | 64-80 | Sayago |
| 17/07/22 Uruguay Metro League | Lagomar | 82-72 | Sayago |
| 13/08/21 Uruguay Metro League | Lagomar | 64-62 | Sayago |
Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trouville | 5 | 5 | 0 | 454 | 359 | 10 |
| 2 | Stockolmo | 5 | 5 | 0 | 419 | 336 | 10 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 5 | 4 | 1 | 459 | 413 | 9 |
| 4 | Verdirrojo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 398 | 362 | 9 |
| 5 | Larre Borges | 5 | 3 | 2 | 419 | 401 | 8 |
| 6 | Tabare | 5 | 3 | 2 | 442 | 380 | 8 |
| 7 | Olivol Mundial | 5 | 2 | 3 | 352 | 398 | 7 |
| 8 | Lagomar | 5 | 2 | 3 | 372 | 408 | 7 |
| 9 | Sayago | 5 | 2 | 3 | 385 | 412 | 7 |
| 10 | Albatros | 5 | 2 | 3 | 407 | 452 | 7 |
| 11 | Montevideo | 5 | 1 | 4 | 438 | 454 | 6 |
| 12 | Urupan de Pando | 5 | 1 | 4 | 373 | 393 | 6 |
| 13 | Marne | 5 | 1 | 4 | 364 | 423 | 6 |
| 14 | Colon | 5 | 0 | 5 | 341 | 432 | 5 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lagomar | Sayago |
|---|---|---|
| Trouville | 60-111 L | 79-93 L |
| Olivol Mundial | 93-82 W | 66-79 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lagomar
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
60-111 | L |
| 24/06 | Olivol Mundial Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
93-82 | W |
| 19/06 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
67-70 | L |
| 12/06 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
82-73 | W |
| 05/06 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
70-72 | L |
| 29/08 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
81-84 | L |
| 22/08 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
93-74 | W |
| 19/08 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
78-90 | L |
| 14/08 | Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
85-60 | W |
| 09/08 | Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
78-73 | W |
Sayago
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
90-83 | W |
| 25/06 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
82-75 | W |
| 18/06 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
68-82 | L |
| 12/06 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
79-93 | L |
| 06/06 | Olivol Mundial Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
66-79 | L |
| 19/11 | Albatros Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso |
105-74 | W |
| 09/11 | Reducto Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso |
89-82 | W |
| 06/11 | Reducto Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso |
92-82 | W |
| 30/10 | Juventud Las Piedras Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso |
96-72 | W |
| 27/10 | Juventud Las Piedras Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso |
108-70 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lagomar vs Sayago?
Our model gives 59% to Lagomar.
How many points are expected in Lagomar vs Sayago?
The model estimates 161.7 total points (Lagomar 80.4 · Sayago 81.3).