Basketball · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · 08/07, 01:15

Prediction: Olivol Mundial vs Colon

Estimated 150.4 total points (Olivol Mundial 79.2 · Colon 71.2).

Over its last 10 matches, Olivol Mundial sits at 6-0-4 (W-D-L), while Colon arrives on a 0-0-10 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Olivol Mundial and 3 for Colon.

75%1
75% 25%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Olivol Mundial 1503 · Colon 1376
Olivol MundialColon
Our model78%22%
Market74%26%
Estimated total (ours) 150.4 points · Bet365 line 152.5 · -2.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points150.4Olivol Mundial 79.2 · Colon 71.2

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olivol Mundial (rating 1503 vs 1376).
  • Olivol Mundial is a clear favourite (75% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

Olivol MundialColon
Points F|A (Last 10)73.1 / 75.368.6 / 84.9
Points F|A (Last 5)68.6 / 79.665.6 / 85.6
Est. result7971
Est. total150.4
Line O/U152.5
Diff.2.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Olivol Mundial 303 Colon

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/09/24
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Colon80-68Olivol Mundial
17/07/24
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Olivol Mundial74-68Colon
22/08/23
Uruguay Metro League
Olivol Mundial71-87Colon
04/07/23
Uruguay Metro League
Colon79-80Olivol Mundial
24/06/22
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Olivol Mundial80-84Colon
25/09/20
Uruguay Metro League
Colon70-72Olivol Mundial

Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Stockolmo 761 57147913
2 Olimpia 761 63656013
3 Trouville 660 55143912
4 Verdirrojo 752 55350912
5 Tabare 752 59451712
6 Larre Borges 633 4994989
7 Lagomar 633 4624969
8 Olivol Mundial 633 4224649
9 Sayago 624 4735028
10 Urupan de Pando 624 4654838
11 Albatros 624 4735228
12 Montevideo 716 5936388
13 Marne 716 5115838
14 Colon 606 4085216

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentOlivol MundialColon
Albatros 70-66 W 80-93 L
Lagomar 82-93 L 73-78 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Olivol Mundial

WLWWWLWLLW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
05/07 Albatros
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
70-66 W
01/07 Larre Borges
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
61-85 L
24/06 Lagomar
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
82-93 L
18/06 Montevideo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
76-72 W
11/06 Urupan de Pando
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
54-82 L
06/06 Sayago
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
79-66 W
21/11 Reducto
Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso
72-63 W
17/11 Reducto
Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso
65-64 W
13/11 Albatros
Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso
86-92 L
10/11 Albatros
Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso
86-70 W

Colon

LLLLLLLLLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
04/07 Olimpia
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
67-89 L
30/06 Tabare
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
53-98 L
25/06 Stockolmo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
49-73 L
19/06 Marne
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
75-77 L
11/06 Verdirrojo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
84-91 L
06/06 Albatros
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
80-93 L
23/08 Larranaga
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
75-89 L
19/08 Larranaga
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
69-89 L
14/08 CA Atenas Montevideo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
61-72 L
09/08 Lagomar
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
73-78 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Olivol Mundial vs Colon?

Our model gives 75% to Olivol Mundial.

How many points are expected in Olivol Mundial vs Colon?

The model estimates 150.4 total points (Olivol Mundial 79.2 · Colon 71.2).