Basketball · Mexico LNBP · 21/08, 04:15
Prediction: Diablos Rojos vs Lobos Puebla
Prediction summary
Estimated points
159.9Total
Diablos Rojos81.7
Lobos Puebla78.2
1X2
Diablos Rojos
Lobos Puebla
Recent form · 10 last
Diablos Rojos
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Lobos Puebla
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Diablos Rojos
2–0
Lobos Puebla
(2 last)
- Lobos Puebla81-91Diablos Rojos
- Lobos Puebla86-98Diablos Rojos
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diablos Rojos 1473 · Lobos Puebla 1500
| Diablos Rojos | Lobos Puebla | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
159.9 points · Bet365 line 162.5 · -2.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points159.9Diablos Rojos 81.7 · Lobos Puebla 78.2
Match keys
- H2H favours Diablos Rojos: 2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Diablos Rojos | Lobos Puebla | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 81.9 / 81.1 | 79.1 / 79.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 78.2 / 81.2 | 81.6 / 82.4 |
| Est. result | 82 | 78 |
Est. total159.9
Line O/U162.5
Diff.2.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Diablos Rojos 2–0–0 Lobos Puebla
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/24 Mexico LNBP | Lobos Puebla | 81-91 | Diablos Rojos |
| 22/09/24 Mexico LNBP | Lobos Puebla | 86-98 | Diablos Rojos |
Standings · Mexico LNBP · LNBP 2026, West
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Astros de Jalisco | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1044 | 964 | 20 |
| 2 | Soles Mexicali | 10 | 8 | 2 | 833 | 742 | 18 |
| 3 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 10 | 7 | 3 | 890 | 826 | 17 |
| 4 | El Calor de Cancun | 11 | 4 | 7 | 908 | 942 | 15 |
| 5 | Gambusinos de Fresnillo | 11 | 4 | 7 | 827 | 866 | 15 |
| 6 | Diablos Rojos | 10 | 4 | 6 | 819 | 811 | 14 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Diablos Rojos | Lobos Puebla |
|---|---|---|
| Dorados de Chihuahua | 87-67 W | 104-77 W |
| Panteras Aguascalientes | 92-88 W | 69-73 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diablos Rojos
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Gambusinos de Fresnillo Mexico LNBP |
71-66 | W |
| 16/08 | Gambusinos de Fresnillo Mexico LNBP |
80-83 | L |
| 11/08 | Fuerza Regia Mexico LNBP |
94-95 | L |
| 10/08 | Fuerza Regia Mexico LNBP |
64-76 | L |
| 07/08 | Freseros Irapuato Mexico LNBP |
82-86 | L |
| 06/08 | Freseros Irapuato Mexico LNBP |
99-73 | W |
| 02/08 | Dorados de Chihuahua Mexico LNBP |
87-67 | W |
| 01/08 | Dorados de Chihuahua Mexico LNBP |
70-86 | L |
| 25/07 | Panteras Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP |
92-88 | W |
| 24/07 | Panteras Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP |
80-91 | L |
Lobos Puebla
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Dorados de Chihuahua Mexico LNBP |
104-77 | W |
| 16/08 | Dorados de Chihuahua Mexico LNBP |
74-71 | W |
| 13/08 | Panteras Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP |
69-73 | L |
| 12/08 | Panteras Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP |
88-111 | L |
| 07/08 | Soles Mexicali Mexico LNBP |
73-80 | L |
| 06/08 | Soles Mexicali Mexico LNBP |
64-86 | L |
| 02/08 | Astros de Jalisco Mexico LNBP |
79-71 | W |
| 01/08 | Astros de Jalisco Mexico LNBP |
64-73 | L |
| 25/07 | El Calor de Cancun Mexico LNBP |
80-63 | W |
| 24/07 | El Calor de Cancun Mexico LNBP |
96-93 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diablos Rojos vs Lobos Puebla?
Our model gives 60% to Diablos Rojos.
How many points are expected in Diablos Rojos vs Lobos Puebla?
The model estimates 159.9 total points (Diablos Rojos 81.7 · Lobos Puebla 78.2).