Basketball · Mexico LNBP · 22/08, 05:00
Prediction: Soles Mexicali vs Mineros de Zacatecas
Team pages: Soles Mexicali · Mineros de Zacatecas
Prediction summary
Estimated points
161.8Total
Soles Mexicali84.4
Mineros de Zacatecas77.4
1X2
Soles Mexicali
Mineros de Zacatecas
Recent form · 10 last
Soles Mexicali
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Mineros de Zacatecas
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Soles Mexicali
5–1
Mineros de Zacatecas
(6 last)
- Soles Mexicali84-68Mineros de Zacatecas
- Soles Mexicali92-60Mineros de Zacatecas
- Soles Mexicali93-75Mineros de Zacatecas
- Soles Mexicali96-55Mineros de Zacatecas
- Soles Mexicali91-57Mineros de Zacatecas
- Mineros de Zacatecas82-73Soles Mexicali
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Soles Mexicali 1613 · Mineros de Zacatecas 1541
| Soles Mexicali | Mineros de Zacatecas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
161.8 points · Bet365 line 159.5 · +2.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points161.8Soles Mexicali 84.4 · Mineros de Zacatecas 77.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Soles Mexicali (rating 1613 vs 1541).
- Soles Mexicali is a clear favourite (69% market).
- H2H favours Soles Mexicali: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Soles Mexicali | Mineros de Zacatecas | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 82.6 / 71.6 | 87.2 / 82.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 86.2 / 73 | 81 / 78.2 |
| Est. result | 84 | 77 |
Est. total161.8
Line O/U159.5
Diff.2.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Soles Mexicali 5–0–1 Mineros de Zacatecas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/26 Mexico LNBP | Soles Mexicali | 84-68 | Mineros de Zacatecas |
| 15/09/25 Mexico LNBP | Soles Mexicali | 92-60 | Mineros de Zacatecas |
| 14/09/25 Mexico LNBP | Soles Mexicali | 93-75 | Mineros de Zacatecas |
| 12/10/24 Mexico LNBP | Soles Mexicali | 96-55 | Mineros de Zacatecas |
| 11/10/24 Mexico LNBP | Soles Mexicali | 91-57 | Mineros de Zacatecas |
| 02/09/23 Mexico LNBP | Mineros de Zacatecas | 82-73 | Soles Mexicali |
Standings · Mexico LNBP · LNBP 2026, West
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Soles Mexicali | 11 | 9 | 2 | 917 | 810 | 20 |
| 2 | Astros de Jalisco | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1044 | 964 | 20 |
| 3 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 11 | 7 | 4 | 958 | 910 | 18 |
| 4 | El Calor de Cancun | 12 | 4 | 8 | 984 | 1022 | 16 |
| 5 | Gambusinos de Fresnillo | 12 | 4 | 8 | 909 | 972 | 16 |
| 6 | Diablos Rojos | 11 | 4 | 7 | 907 | 900 | 15 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Soles Mexicali
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico LNBP |
84-68 | W |
| 17/08 | Santos San Luis Mexico LNBP |
105-74 | W |
| 16/08 | Santos San Luis Mexico LNBP |
84-75 | W |
| 13/08 | Abejas Mexico LNBP |
87-80 | W |
| 12/08 | Abejas Mexico LNBP |
71-68 | W |
| 07/08 | Lobos Puebla Mexico LNBP |
80-73 | W |
| 06/08 | Lobos Puebla Mexico LNBP |
86-64 | W |
| 01/08 | Gambusinos de Fresnillo Mexico LNBP |
71-57 | W |
| 31/07 | Gambusinos de Fresnillo Mexico LNBP |
69-62 | W |
| 27/07 | Fuerza Regia Mexico LNBP |
89-95 | L |
Mineros de Zacatecas
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Soles Mexicali Mexico LNBP |
68-84 | L |
| 17/08 | Astros de Jalisco Mexico LNBP |
89-83 | W |
| 16/08 | Astros de Jalisco Mexico LNBP |
94-88 | W |
| 12/08 | El Calor de Cancun Mexico LNBP |
78-67 | W |
| 11/08 | El Calor de Cancun Mexico LNBP |
76-69 | W |
| 07/08 | Correcaminos Mexico LNBP |
98-76 | W |
| 06/08 | Correcaminos Mexico LNBP |
95-76 | W |
| 01/08 | Freseros Irapuato Mexico LNBP |
89-92 | L |
| 31/07 | Freseros Irapuato Mexico LNBP |
105-93 | W |
| 25/07 | Santos San Luis Mexico LNBP |
80-95 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Soles Mexicali vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
Our model gives 69% to Soles Mexicali.
How many points are expected in Soles Mexicali vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
The model estimates 161.8 total points (Soles Mexicali 84.4 · Mineros de Zacatecas 77.4).