Basketball · Mexico LNBP · 21/08, 04:30
Prediction: Panteras Aguascalientes vs Santos San Luis
Prediction summary
Estimated points
168.5Total
Panteras Aguascalientes87.7
Santos San Luis80.8
1X2
Panteras Aguascalientes
Santos San Luis
Recent form · 10 last
Panteras Aguascalientes
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Santos San Luis
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Panteras Aguascalientes
5–1
Santos San Luis
(6 last)
- Panteras Aguascalientes96-65Santos San Luis
- Panteras Aguascalientes87-83Santos San Luis
- Santos San Luis78-91Panteras Aguascalientes
- Santos San Luis72-90Panteras Aguascalientes
- Panteras Aguascalientes109-102Santos San Luis
- Santos San Luis73-67Panteras Aguascalientes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Panteras Aguascalientes 1545 · Santos San Luis 1448
| Panteras Aguascalientes | Santos San Luis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 25% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
168.5 points · Bet365 line 168.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points168.5Panteras Aguascalientes 87.7 · Santos San Luis 80.8
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Panteras Aguascalientes (rating 1545 vs 1448).
- Panteras Aguascalientes is a clear favourite (69% market).
- H2H favours Panteras Aguascalientes: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Panteras Aguascalientes | Santos San Luis | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 87.5 / 82.8 | 78.5 / 87.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 91.4 / 81 | 74 / 89.8 |
| Est. result | 88 | 81 |
Est. total168.5
Line O/U168.5
Diff.0
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Panteras Aguascalientes 5–0–1 Santos San Luis
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/25 Mexico LNBP | Panteras Aguascalientes | 96-65 | Santos San Luis |
| 04/09/25 Mexico LNBP | Panteras Aguascalientes | 87-83 | Santos San Luis |
| 07/09/24 Mexico LNBP | Santos San Luis | 78-91 | Panteras Aguascalientes |
| 06/09/24 Mexico LNBP | Santos San Luis | 72-90 | Panteras Aguascalientes |
| 07/07/24 Club Friendlies | Panteras Aguascalientes | 109-102 | Santos San Luis |
| 09/09/23 Mexico LNBP | Santos San Luis | 73-67 | Panteras Aguascalientes |
Standings · Mexico LNBP · LNBP 2026, East
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dorados de Chihuahua | 11 | 8 | 3 | 939 | 886 | 19 |
| 2 | Fuerza Regia | 11 | 7 | 4 | 960 | 967 | 18 |
| 3 | Panteras Aguascalientes | 10 | 6 | 4 | 875 | 828 | 16 |
| 4 | Abejas | 11 | 4 | 7 | 948 | 980 | 15 |
| 5 | Freseros Irapuato | 11 | 4 | 7 | 972 | 1025 | 15 |
| 6 | Correcaminos | 12 | 2 | 10 | 1024 | 1105 | 14 |
| 7 | Santos San Luis | 10 | 4 | 6 | 785 | 875 | 14 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Panteras Aguascalientes
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Abejas Mexico LNBP |
102-87 | W |
| 16/08 | Abejas Mexico LNBP |
83-92 | L |
| 13/08 | Lobos Puebla Mexico LNBP |
73-69 | W |
| 12/08 | Lobos Puebla Mexico LNBP |
111-88 | W |
| 07/08 | Gambusinos de Fresnillo Mexico LNBP |
88-69 | W |
| 06/08 | Gambusinos de Fresnillo Mexico LNBP |
74-84 | L |
| 01/08 | Fuerza Regia Mexico LNBP |
75-82 | L |
| 31/07 | Fuerza Regia Mexico LNBP |
90-85 | W |
| 25/07 | Diablos Rojos Mexico LNBP |
88-92 | L |
| 24/07 | Diablos Rojos Mexico LNBP |
91-80 | W |
Santos San Luis
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Soles Mexicali Mexico LNBP |
74-105 | L |
| 16/08 | Soles Mexicali Mexico LNBP |
75-84 | L |
| 13/08 | Astros de Jalisco Mexico LNBP |
57-82 | L |
| 12/08 | Astros de Jalisco Mexico LNBP |
82-103 | L |
| 07/08 | El Calor de Cancun Mexico LNBP |
82-75 | W |
| 06/08 | El Calor de Cancun Mexico LNBP |
84-89 | L |
| 02/08 | Correcaminos Mexico LNBP |
58-93 | L |
| 01/08 | Correcaminos Mexico LNBP |
91-78 | W |
| 25/07 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico LNBP |
95-80 | W |
| 24/07 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico LNBP |
87-86 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Panteras Aguascalientes vs Santos San Luis?
Our model gives 69% to Panteras Aguascalientes.
How many points are expected in Panteras Aguascalientes vs Santos San Luis?
The model estimates 168.5 total points (Panteras Aguascalientes 87.7 · Santos San Luis 80.8).