Basketball · Mexico LNBP · 21/08, 05:00

Prediction: Soles Mexicali vs Mineros de Zacatecas

Prediction summary

Estimated points

163.1Total

Soles Mexicali84.3

Mineros de Zacatecas78.9

1X2

65% 35%

Soles Mexicali Mineros de Zacatecas

Recent form · 10 last

Soles Mexicali 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWWWWW

Mineros de Zacatecas 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Soles Mexicali 4–2 Mineros de Zacatecas (6 last)

Soles Mexicali92-60Mineros de Zacatecas
Soles Mexicali93-75Mineros de Zacatecas
Soles Mexicali96-55Mineros de Zacatecas
Soles Mexicali91-57Mineros de Zacatecas
Mineros de Zacatecas82-73Soles Mexicali
Mineros de Zacatecas75-70Soles Mexicali

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Soles Mexicali 1598 · Mineros de Zacatecas 1546

	Soles Mexicali	Mineros de Zacatecas
Our model	69%	31%
Market	63%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 163.1 points · Bet365 line 162.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points163.1Soles Mexicali 84.3 · Mineros de Zacatecas 78.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Soles Mexicali (rating 1598 vs 1546).
Soles Mexicali is a clear favourite (65% market).
H2H favours Soles Mexicali: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Soles Mexicali	Mineros de Zacatecas
Points F\|A (Last 10)	83.3 / 74.2	89 / 82.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	85.4 / 74	87 / 76.6
Est. result	84	79

Est. total163.1

Line O/U162.5

Diff.0.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.48

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.83

2 (+4.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 162.51.80

Under 162.51.87

Diff.: 2.05 · Est. total: 164.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48
2	2.55 → 2.55	Pinn 2.69 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	2
00:49 +9’	1.48	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
00:55 +2’	1.41	2.71
01:45	1.41▲	2.69▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Soles Mexicali 4–0–2 Mineros de Zacatecas

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/09/25 Mexico LNBP	Soles Mexicali	92-60	Mineros de Zacatecas
14/09/25 Mexico LNBP	Soles Mexicali	93-75	Mineros de Zacatecas
12/10/24 Mexico LNBP	Soles Mexicali	96-55	Mineros de Zacatecas
11/10/24 Mexico LNBP	Soles Mexicali	91-57	Mineros de Zacatecas
02/09/23 Mexico LNBP	Mineros de Zacatecas	82-73	Soles Mexicali
01/09/23 Mexico LNBP	Mineros de Zacatecas	75-70	Soles Mexicali

Standings · Mexico LNBP · LNBP 2026, West

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Astros de Jalisco	12	8	4	1044	964	20
2	Soles Mexicali	10	8	2	833	742	18
3	Mineros de Zacatecas	10	7	3	890	826	17
4	El Calor de Cancun	11	4	7	908	942	15
5	Gambusinos de Fresnillo	11	4	7	827	866	15
6	Diablos Rojos	10	4	6	819	811	14

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Soles Mexicali

LLWWWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/08	Santos San Luis Mexico LNBP	105-74	W
16/08	Santos San Luis Mexico LNBP	84-75	W
13/08	Abejas Mexico LNBP	87-80	W
12/08	Abejas Mexico LNBP	71-68	W
07/08	Lobos Puebla Mexico LNBP	80-73	W
06/08	Lobos Puebla Mexico LNBP	86-64	W
01/08	Gambusinos de Fresnillo Mexico LNBP	71-57	W
31/07	Gambusinos de Fresnillo Mexico LNBP	69-62	W
27/07	Fuerza Regia Mexico LNBP	89-95	L
26/07	Fuerza Regia Mexico LNBP	91-94	L

Mineros de Zacatecas

LLWLWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/08	Astros de Jalisco Mexico LNBP	89-83	W
16/08	Astros de Jalisco Mexico LNBP	94-88	W
12/08	El Calor de Cancun Mexico LNBP	78-67	W
11/08	El Calor de Cancun Mexico LNBP	76-69	W
07/08	Correcaminos Mexico LNBP	98-76	W
06/08	Correcaminos Mexico LNBP	95-76	W
01/08	Freseros Irapuato Mexico LNBP	89-92	L
31/07	Freseros Irapuato Mexico LNBP	105-93	W
25/07	Santos San Luis Mexico LNBP	80-95	L
24/07	Santos San Luis Mexico LNBP	86-87	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Soles Mexicali vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Our model gives 65% to Soles Mexicali.

How many points are expected in Soles Mexicali vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

The model estimates 163.1 total points (Soles Mexicali 84.3 · Mineros de Zacatecas 78.9).