Basketball · Mexico LNBP · 22/08, 04:15
Prediction: Diablos Rojos vs Lobos Puebla
Team pages: Diablos Rojos · Lobos Puebla
Prediction summary
Estimated points
160.7Total
Diablos Rojos82.9
Lobos Puebla77.8
1X2
Diablos Rojos
Lobos Puebla
Recent form · 10 last
Diablos Rojos
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Lobos Puebla
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Diablos Rojos
2–1
Lobos Puebla
(3 last)
- Diablos Rojos88-89Lobos Puebla
- Lobos Puebla81-91Diablos Rojos
- Lobos Puebla86-98Diablos Rojos
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diablos Rojos 1476 · Lobos Puebla 1502
| Diablos Rojos | Lobos Puebla | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
160.7 points · Bet365 line 164.5 · -3.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points160.7Diablos Rojos 82.9 · Lobos Puebla 77.8
Match keys
- H2H favours Diablos Rojos: 2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Diablos Rojos | Lobos Puebla | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 82.7 / 80.9 | 78.4 / 79.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 79.4 / 81.8 | 84.8 / 84 |
| Est. result | 83 | 78 |
Est. total160.7
Line O/U164.5
Diff.3.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Diablos Rojos 2–0–1 Lobos Puebla
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/26 Mexico LNBP | Diablos Rojos | 88-89 | Lobos Puebla |
| 23/09/24 Mexico LNBP | Lobos Puebla | 81-91 | Diablos Rojos |
| 22/09/24 Mexico LNBP | Lobos Puebla | 86-98 | Diablos Rojos |
Standings · Mexico LNBP · LNBP 2026, West
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Soles Mexicali | 11 | 9 | 2 | 917 | 810 | 20 |
| 2 | Astros de Jalisco | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1044 | 964 | 20 |
| 3 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 11 | 7 | 4 | 958 | 910 | 18 |
| 4 | El Calor de Cancun | 12 | 4 | 8 | 984 | 1022 | 16 |
| 5 | Gambusinos de Fresnillo | 12 | 4 | 8 | 909 | 972 | 16 |
| 6 | Diablos Rojos | 11 | 4 | 7 | 907 | 900 | 15 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Diablos Rojos | Lobos Puebla |
|---|---|---|
| Dorados de Chihuahua | 87-67 W | 104-77 W |
| Panteras Aguascalientes | 92-88 W | 69-73 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diablos Rojos
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Lobos Puebla Mexico LNBP |
88-89 | L |
| 17/08 | Gambusinos de Fresnillo Mexico LNBP |
71-66 | W |
| 16/08 | Gambusinos de Fresnillo Mexico LNBP |
80-83 | L |
| 11/08 | Fuerza Regia Mexico LNBP |
94-95 | L |
| 10/08 | Fuerza Regia Mexico LNBP |
64-76 | L |
| 07/08 | Freseros Irapuato Mexico LNBP |
82-86 | L |
| 06/08 | Freseros Irapuato Mexico LNBP |
99-73 | W |
| 02/08 | Dorados de Chihuahua Mexico LNBP |
87-67 | W |
| 01/08 | Dorados de Chihuahua Mexico LNBP |
70-86 | L |
| 25/07 | Panteras Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP |
92-88 | W |
Lobos Puebla
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Diablos Rojos Mexico LNBP |
89-88 | W |
| 17/08 | Dorados de Chihuahua Mexico LNBP |
104-77 | W |
| 16/08 | Dorados de Chihuahua Mexico LNBP |
74-71 | W |
| 13/08 | Panteras Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP |
69-73 | L |
| 12/08 | Panteras Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP |
88-111 | L |
| 07/08 | Soles Mexicali Mexico LNBP |
73-80 | L |
| 06/08 | Soles Mexicali Mexico LNBP |
64-86 | L |
| 02/08 | Astros de Jalisco Mexico LNBP |
79-71 | W |
| 01/08 | Astros de Jalisco Mexico LNBP |
64-73 | L |
| 25/07 | El Calor de Cancun Mexico LNBP |
80-63 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diablos Rojos vs Lobos Puebla?
Our model gives 64% to Diablos Rojos.
How many points are expected in Diablos Rojos vs Lobos Puebla?
The model estimates 160.7 total points (Diablos Rojos 82.9 · Lobos Puebla 77.8).