Basketball · Mexico LNBP · 07/10, 03:15

Prediction: Correcaminos vs Abejas

Team pages: Correcaminos · Abejas

Prediction summary

Estimated points

172.8Total

Correcaminos86.6

Abejas86.2

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

51% 49%

Correcaminos Abejas

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Under 177 points 75%

Recent form · 10 last

Correcaminos 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLLLL

Abejas 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLLWLW

Head-to-head

Correcaminos 3–3 Abejas (6 last)

Abejas101-89Correcaminos
Abejas95-88Correcaminos
Correcaminos86-83Abejas
Correcaminos90-69Abejas
Correcaminos78-75Abejas
Correcaminos80-87Abejas

Model analysis

Estimated points172.8Correcaminos 86.6 · Abejas 86.2

Over / Under 177Under · 75%recent trend · ~169.7 pts · strength 7

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Correcaminos	Abejas
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80.2 / 95.1	82.8 / 84.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	77 / 97	84 / 83.6
Est. result	87	86

Est. total172.8

Line O/U177

Diff.4.2

Over / Under25% / 75%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1771.83

Under 1771.83

Diff.: 5.85 · Est. total: 171.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.98 → 2.98	Pinn 2.98
2	1.29 → 1.29	Pinn 1.29

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 10.8%

Time*	1	2
03:30 +16’	2.98	1.29

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Correcaminos 3–0–3 Abejas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Mexico LNBP	Abejas	101-89	Correcaminos
24/07/26 Mexico LNBP	Abejas	95-88	Correcaminos
19/07/25 Mexico LNBP	Correcaminos	86-83	Abejas
18/07/25 Mexico LNBP	Correcaminos	90-69	Abejas
25/08/24 Mexico LNBP	Correcaminos	78-75	Abejas
24/08/24 Mexico LNBP	Correcaminos	80-87	Abejas

Standings · Mexico LNBP · LNBP 2026, East

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Fuerza Regia	26	18	8	2334	2218	44
2	Panteras Aguascalientes	26	17	9	2307	2212	43
3	Dorados de Chihuahua	26	15	11	2199	2206	41
4	Abejas	26	10	16	2196	2227	36
5	Santos San Luis	26	10	16	2199	2319	36
6	Freseros Irapuato	26	9	17	2217	2376	35
7	Correcaminos	26	4	22	2144	2441	30

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Correcaminos	Abejas
Lobos Puebla	85-90 L	67-80 L
Gambusinos de Fresnillo	83-102 L	74-86 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Correcaminos

LWLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Lobos Puebla Mexico LNBP	85-90	L
02/10	Lobos Puebla Mexico LNBP	75-97	L
27/09	Gambusinos de Fresnillo Mexico LNBP	83-102	L
26/09	Gambusinos de Fresnillo Mexico LNBP	90-103	L
22/09	Fuerza Regia Mexico LNBP	52-93	L
21/09	Fuerza Regia Mexico LNBP	83-94	L
16/09	Diablos Rojos Mexico LNBP	91-96	L
15/09	Diablos Rojos Mexico LNBP	79-107	L
12/09	Dorados de Chihuahua Mexico LNBP	85-83	W
11/09	Dorados de Chihuahua Mexico LNBP	79-86	L

Abejas

LLLLWLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico LNBP	81-74	W
02/10	Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico LNBP	78-90	L
27/09	Santos San Luis Mexico LNBP	92-78	W
26/09	Santos San Luis Mexico LNBP	86-87	L
22/09	Freseros Irapuato Mexico LNBP	83-89	L
21/09	Freseros Irapuato Mexico LNBP	97-80	W
17/09	Lobos Puebla Mexico LNBP	67-80	L
16/09	Lobos Puebla Mexico LNBP	87-91	L
12/09	Gambusinos de Fresnillo Mexico LNBP	74-86	L
11/09	Gambusinos de Fresnillo Mexico LNBP	83-87	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Correcaminos vs Abejas?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Correcaminos 51% · Abejas 49%).

How many points are expected in Correcaminos vs Abejas?

The model estimates 172.8 total points (Correcaminos 86.6 · Abejas 86.2).

Over or under 177 points?

Recent history points to under 177 points (75%).