Basketball · Mexico LNBP · 13/10, 04:00
Prediction: Lobos Puebla vs Freseros Irapuato
Team pages: Lobos Puebla · Freseros Irapuato
Prediction summary
Estimated points
173.1Total
Lobos Puebla92.2
Freseros Irapuato80.9
1X2
Lobos Puebla
Freseros Irapuato
Recent form · 10 last
Lobos Puebla
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Freseros Irapuato
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lobos Puebla
2–3
Freseros Irapuato
(5 last)
- Lobos Puebla105-86Freseros Irapuato
- Lobos Puebla86-90Freseros Irapuato
- Lobos Puebla71-82Freseros Irapuato
- Lobos Puebla100-91Freseros Irapuato
- Lobos Puebla92-94Freseros Irapuato
Model analysis
Estimated points173.1Lobos Puebla 92.2 · Freseros Irapuato 80.9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lobos Puebla (rating 1555 vs 1417).
- Lobos Puebla is a clear favourite (79% market).
- H2H favours Freseros Irapuato: 3-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Lobos Puebla | Freseros Irapuato | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 89.6 / 78.9 | 82.3 / 98.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 90 / 80 | 83.2 / 103.8 |
| Est. result | 92 | 81 |
Est. total173.1
Line O/U170.5
Diff.2.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lobos Puebla 2–0–3 Freseros Irapuato
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/26 Mexico LNBP | Lobos Puebla | 105-86 | Freseros Irapuato |
| 12/09/26 Mexico LNBP | Lobos Puebla | 86-90 | Freseros Irapuato |
| 11/09/26 Mexico LNBP | Lobos Puebla | 71-82 | Freseros Irapuato |
| 05/08/24 Mexico LNBP | Lobos Puebla | 100-91 | Freseros Irapuato |
| 04/08/24 Mexico LNBP | Lobos Puebla | 92-94 | Freseros Irapuato |
Standings · Mexico LNBP · LNBP 2026, West
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Soles Mexicali | 28 | 21 | 7 | 2382 | 2090 | 49 |
| 2 | Astros de Jalisco | 28 | 20 | 8 | 2473 | 2246 | 48 |
| 3 | Lobos Puebla | 28 | 18 | 10 | 2366 | 2251 | 46 |
| 4 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 28 | 15 | 13 | 2411 | 2371 | 43 |
| 5 | Diablos Rojos | 28 | 11 | 17 | 2294 | 2370 | 39 |
| 6 | Gambusinos de Fresnillo | 28 | 11 | 17 | 2233 | 2327 | 39 |
| 7 | El Calor de Cancun | 28 | 9 | 19 | 2276 | 2384 | 37 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lobos Puebla | Freseros Irapuato |
|---|---|---|
| Santos San Luis | 99-84 W | 87-108 L |
| Abejas | 80-67 W | 89-83 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Lobos Puebla (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lobos Puebla
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Freseros Irapuato Mexico LNBP |
105-86 | W |
| 08/10 | El Calor de Cancun Mexico LNBP |
90-77 | W |
| 07/10 | El Calor de Cancun Mexico LNBP |
68-77 | L |
| 03/10 | Correcaminos Mexico LNBP |
90-85 | W |
| 02/10 | Correcaminos Mexico LNBP |
97-75 | W |
| 28/09 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico LNBP |
81-84 | L |
| 27/09 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico LNBP |
91-68 | W |
| 22/09 | Santos San Luis Mexico LNBP |
99-84 | W |
| 21/09 | Santos San Luis Mexico LNBP |
95-86 | W |
| 17/09 | Abejas Mexico LNBP |
80-67 | W |
Freseros Irapuato
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Lobos Puebla Mexico LNBP |
86-105 | L |
| 08/10 | Dorados de Chihuahua Mexico LNBP |
77-105 | L |
| 07/10 | Dorados de Chihuahua Mexico LNBP |
85-105 | L |
| 03/10 | Santos San Luis Mexico LNBP |
87-108 | L |
| 02/10 | Santos San Luis Mexico LNBP |
81-96 | L |
| 27/09 | Panteras Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP |
88-97 | L |
| 26/09 | Panteras Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP |
87-94 | L |
| 22/09 | Abejas Mexico LNBP |
89-83 | W |
| 21/09 | Abejas Mexico LNBP |
80-97 | L |
| 16/09 | Soles Mexicali Mexico LNBP |
63-92 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lobos Puebla vs Freseros Irapuato?
Our model gives 79% to Lobos Puebla.
How many points are expected in Lobos Puebla vs Freseros Irapuato?
The model estimates 173.1 total points (Lobos Puebla 92.2 · Freseros Irapuato 80.9).