Basketball · Mexico LNBP · 07/10, 05:00

Prediction: Soles Mexicali vs Fuerza Regia

Team pages: Soles Mexicali · Fuerza Regia

Prediction summary

Estimated points

166.9Total

Soles Mexicali85

Fuerza Regia81.8

1X2

59% 41%

Soles Mexicali Fuerza Regia

Recent form · 10 last

Soles Mexicali 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLWWLW

Fuerza Regia 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWWWL

Head-to-head

Soles Mexicali 3–3 Fuerza Regia (6 last)

Fuerza Regia95-89Soles Mexicali
Fuerza Regia94-91Soles Mexicali
Fuerza Regia102-81Soles Mexicali
Fuerza Regia91-97Soles Mexicali
Soles Mexicali86-82Fuerza Regia
Soles Mexicali83-72Fuerza Regia

Model analysis

Estimated points166.9Soles Mexicali 85 · Fuerza Regia 81.8

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Soles Mexicali	Fuerza Regia
Points F\|A (Last 10)	85.9 / 71.8	91.9 / 82.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	88.2 / 71.6	86.8 / 78
Est. result	85	82

Est. total166.9

Line O/U161.5

Diff.5.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 161.51.85

Under 161.51.82

Diff.: 4.35 · Est. total: 165.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.29 → 1.27▼	Pinn 1.27
2	2.97 → 3.08▲	Pinn 3.08

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 11.1%

Time*	1	2
05:09 +37’	1.29	2.97
06:34 +12’	1.27▼	3.08▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Soles Mexicali 3–0–3 Fuerza Regia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/07/26 Mexico LNBP	Fuerza Regia	95-89	Soles Mexicali
26/07/26 Mexico LNBP	Fuerza Regia	94-91	Soles Mexicali
10/09/25 Mexico LNBP	Fuerza Regia	102-81	Soles Mexicali
09/09/25 Mexico LNBP	Fuerza Regia	91-97	Soles Mexicali
17/10/24 Mexico LNBP	Soles Mexicali	86-82	Fuerza Regia
16/10/24 Mexico LNBP	Soles Mexicali	83-72	Fuerza Regia

Standings · Mexico LNBP · LNBP 2026, West

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soles Mexicali	26	20	6	2219	1912	46
2	Astros de Jalisco	26	18	8	2291	2086	44
3	Mineros de Zacatecas	26	14	12	2233	2203	40
4	Diablos Rojos	26	11	15	2126	2200	37
5	Gambusinos de Fresnillo	26	11	15	2073	2145	37
6	El Calor de Cancun	26	8	18	2122	2226	34

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Soles Mexicali

WLWWWLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Diablos Rojos Mexico LNBP	86-43	W
02/10	Diablos Rojos Mexico LNBP	84-93	L
27/09	Dorados de Chihuahua Mexico LNBP	97-64	W
26/09	Dorados de Chihuahua Mexico LNBP	98-81	W
22/09	Panteras Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP	76-77	L
21/09	Panteras Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP	77-67	W
16/09	Freseros Irapuato Mexico LNBP	92-63	W
15/09	Freseros Irapuato Mexico LNBP	85-73	W
13/09	Astros de Jalisco Mexico LNBP	74-81	L
12/09	Astros de Jalisco Mexico LNBP	90-76	W

Fuerza Regia

WWLWWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/10	Astros de Jalisco Mexico LNBP	87-101	L
03/10	Astros de Jalisco Mexico LNBP	77-74	W
27/09	El Calor de Cancun Mexico LNBP	95-89	W
26/09	El Calor de Cancun Mexico LNBP	82-74	W
22/09	Correcaminos Mexico LNBP	93-52	W
21/09	Correcaminos Mexico LNBP	94-83	W
17/09	Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico LNBP	87-84	W
16/09	Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico LNBP	100-101	L
12/09	Santos San Luis Mexico LNBP	103-74	W
11/09	Santos San Luis Mexico LNBP	101-89	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Soles Mexicali vs Fuerza Regia?

Our model gives 59% to Soles Mexicali.

How many points are expected in Soles Mexicali vs Fuerza Regia?

The model estimates 166.9 total points (Soles Mexicali 85 · Fuerza Regia 81.8).