Basketball · Australia NBL1 West · 05/07, 08:00
Prediction: Geraldton Buccaneers vs Willetton Tigers
Estimated 183.7 total points (Geraldton Buccaneers 97.4 · Willetton Tigers 86.3).
Recent form leaves Geraldton Buccaneers with 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses over 10 games; Willetton Tigers has piled up 4-0-6 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Geraldton Buccaneers won 4 and Willetton Tigers 2.
80%1
Model analysis
Estimated points183.7Geraldton Buccaneers 97.4 · Willetton Tigers 86.3
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Geraldton Buccaneers (rating 1613 vs 1461).
- Geraldton Buccaneers is a clear favourite (80% market).
- H2H favours Geraldton Buccaneers: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Geraldton Buccaneers | Willetton Tigers | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 96.8 / 82.3 | 94.2 / 97.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 101.2 / 91.2 | 90.6 / 94.2 |
| Est. result | 97 | 86 |
Est. total183.7
Line O/U188
Diff.4.3
Head-to-head (H2H) · Geraldton Buccaneers 4–0–2 Willetton Tigers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Australia NBL1 West | Willetton Tigers | 85-93 | Geraldton Buccaneers |
| 17/08/25 Australia NBL1 West | Willetton Tigers | 80-99 | Geraldton Buccaneers |
| 28/06/25 Australia NBL1 West | Geraldton Buccaneers | 117-97 | Willetton Tigers |
| 01/06/25 Australia NBL1 West | Willetton Tigers | 103-99 | Geraldton Buccaneers |
| 03/08/24 Australia NBL1 West | Geraldton Buccaneers | 89-98 | Willetton Tigers |
| 06/04/24 Australia NBL1 West | Geraldton Buccaneers | 102-95 | Willetton Tigers |
Standings · Australia NBL1 West
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rockingham Flames | 17 | 15 | 2 | 1824 | 1473 | 0 |
| 2 | Geraldton Buccaneers | 15 | 12 | 3 | 1450 | 1283 | 0 |
| 3 | Joondalup Wolves | 18 | 13 | 5 | 1809 | 1650 | 0 |
| 4 | Cockburn Cougars | 17 | 12 | 5 | 1665 | 1514 | 0 |
| 5 | Willetton Tigers | 17 | 11 | 6 | 1673 | 1613 | 0 |
| 6 | Kalamunda Eastern Suns | 17 | 11 | 6 | 1611 | 1579 | 0 |
| 7 | Perry Lakes Hawks | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1529 | 1523 | 0 |
| 8 | East Perth Eagles | 18 | 8 | 10 | 1637 | 1672 | 0 |
| 9 | Lakeside Lightning | 18 | 7 | 11 | 1535 | 1626 | 0 |
| 10 | Mandurah Magic | 18 | 6 | 12 | 1679 | 1762 | 0 |
| 11 | Perth Redbacks | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1506 | 1597 | 0 |
| 12 | Goldfields Giants | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1371 | 1500 | 0 |
| 13 | Warwick Senators | 17 | 5 | 12 | 1512 | 1725 | 0 |
| 14 | South West Slammers | 18 | 1 | 17 | 1469 | 1753 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Geraldton Buccaneers | Willetton Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Rockingham Flames | 102-93 W | 100-115 L |
| Joondalup Wolves | 108-90 W | 94-89 W |
| Warwick Senators | 108-88 W | 110-90 W |
| Goldfields Giants | 47-32 W | 98-87 W |
| Lakeside Lightning | 102-100 W | 95-89 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 0 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Geraldton Buccaneers (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Geraldton Buccaneers
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Rockingham Flames Australia NBL1 West |
102-93 | W |
| 27/06 | Perth Redbacks Australia NBL1 West |
118-86 | W |
| 21/06 | Rockingham Flames Australia NBL1 West |
75-92 | L |
| 20/06 | Kalamunda Eastern Suns Australia NBL1 West |
103-95 | W |
| 13/06 | Joondalup Wolves Australia NBL1 West |
108-90 | W |
| 31/05 | Warwick Senators Australia NBL1 West |
108-88 | W |
| 30/05 | Goldfields Giants Australia NBL1 West |
47-32 | W |
| 24/05 | Lakeside Lightning Australia NBL1 West |
102-100 | W |
| 23/05 | Perth Redbacks Australia NBL1 West |
112-89 | W |
| 16/05 | South West Slammers Australia NBL1 West |
93-58 | W |
Willetton Tigers
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Joondalup Wolves Australia NBL1 West |
94-89 | W |
| 26/06 | Lakeside Lightning Australia NBL1 West |
95-89 | W |
| 20/06 | Cockburn Cougars Australia NBL1 West |
84-103 | L |
| 19/06 | Perry Lakes Hawks Australia NBL1 West |
108-111 | L |
| 12/06 | Lakeside Lightning Australia NBL1 West |
72-79 | L |
| 31/05 | Goldfields Giants Australia NBL1 West |
98-87 | W |
| 22/05 | Joondalup Wolves Australia NBL1 West |
96-118 | L |
| 16/05 | Rockingham Flames Australia NBL1 West |
100-115 | L |
| 09/05 | Geraldton Buccaneers Australia NBL1 West |
85-93 | L |
| 08/05 | Warwick Senators Australia NBL1 West |
110-90 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Geraldton Buccaneers vs Willetton Tigers?
Our model gives 80% to Geraldton Buccaneers.
How many points are expected in Geraldton Buccaneers vs Willetton Tigers?
The model estimates 183.7 total points (Geraldton Buccaneers 97.4 · Willetton Tigers 86.3).