Basketball · Vietnam VBA · 24/07, 14:30

Prediction: Ho Chi Minh City Wings vs Danang Dragons

Prediction summary

Estimated points

169.6Total

Ho Chi Minh City Wings90.2

Danang Dragons79.4

1X2

78% 22%

Ho Chi Minh City Wings Danang Dragons

Recent form · 10 last

Ho Chi Minh City Wings 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWLLWLWLLL

Danang Dragons 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Ho Chi Minh City Wings 2–4 Danang Dragons (6 last)

Danang Dragons66-75Ho Chi Minh City Wings
Danang Dragons82-95Ho Chi Minh City Wings
Ho Chi Minh City Wings71-87Danang Dragons

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ho Chi Minh City Wings 1467 · Danang Dragons 1365

	Ho Chi Minh City Wings	Danang Dragons
Our model	75%	25%
Market	79%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 169.6 points · Bet365 line 170.5 · -0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points169.6Ho Chi Minh City Wings 90.2 · Danang Dragons 79.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ho Chi Minh City Wings (rating 1467 vs 1365).
Ho Chi Minh City Wings is a clear favourite (78% market).
H2H favours Danang Dragons: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Ho Chi Minh City Wings	Danang Dragons
Points F\|A (Last 10)	83.2 / 86.8	77.2 / 98
Points F\|A (Last 5)	84.8 / 92.6	74.2 / 92.4
Est. result	90	79

Est. total169.6

Line O/U170.5

Diff.0.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.18

24.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-10.5)1.83

2 (+10.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 170.51.83

Under 170.51.83

Diff.: 2.1 · Est. total: 172.6

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18
2	4.40 → 4.40	Bet365 4.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.4%

Time*	1	2
12:39 +6’	1.18	4.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ho Chi Minh City Wings 2–0–4 Danang Dragons

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Vietnam VBA	Danang Dragons	66-75	Ho Chi Minh City Wings
28/05/26 Vietnam VBA	Danang Dragons	82-95	Ho Chi Minh City Wings
02/08/25 Vietnam VBA	Ho Chi Minh City Wings	71-87	Danang Dragons
15/06/25 Vietnam VBA	Danang Dragons	113-87	Ho Chi Minh City Wings
13/06/25 Vietnam VBA	Danang Dragons	101-66	Ho Chi Minh City Wings
02/09/24 Vietnam VBA	Danang Dragons	91-80	Ho Chi Minh City Wings

Standings · Vietnam VBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Hanoi Buffaloes	14	13	1	1374	1190
2	Saigon Heat	12	9	3	1118	915
3	Nha Trang Dolphins	12	5	7	1069	1103
4	Cantho Catfish	12	5	7	985	1069
5	Ho Chi Minh City Wings	10	4	6	832	871
6	Danang Dragons	12	0	12	920	1150

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ho Chi Minh City Wings	Danang Dragons
Hanoi Buffaloes	76-94 L	69-100 L
Cantho Catfish	95-100 L	85-88 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ho Chi Minh City Wings

WWLLWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/07	Hanoi Buffaloes Vietnam VBA	76-94	L
09/07	Hanoi Buffaloes Vietnam VBA	92-98	L
04/07	Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA	95-100	L
02/07	Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA	81-80	W
20/06	Nha Trang Dolphins Vietnam VBA	80-91	L
18/06	Nha Trang Dolphins Vietnam VBA	100-81	W
14/06	Hanoi Buffaloes Vietnam VBA	73-85	L
12/06	Hanoi Buffaloes Vietnam VBA	65-91	L
30/05	Danang Dragons Vietnam VBA	75-66	W
28/05	Danang Dragons Vietnam VBA	95-82	W

Danang Dragons

LLLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/07	Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA	85-88	L
16/07	Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA	75-95	L
12/07	Saigon Heat Vietnam VBA	77-102	L
10/07	Saigon Heat Vietnam VBA	65-77	L
27/06	Hanoi Buffaloes Vietnam VBA	69-100	L
25/06	Hanoi Buffaloes Vietnam VBA	97-100	L
13/06	Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA	76-83	L
11/06	Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA	86-94	L
07/06	Saigon Heat Vietnam VBA	64-112	L
05/06	Saigon Heat Vietnam VBA	78-129	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ho Chi Minh City Wings vs Danang Dragons?

Our model gives 78% to Ho Chi Minh City Wings.

How many points are expected in Ho Chi Minh City Wings vs Danang Dragons?

The model estimates 169.6 total points (Ho Chi Minh City Wings 90.2 · Danang Dragons 79.4).