Basketball · Vietnam VBA · 26/07, 14:30

Prediction: Ho Chi Minh City Wings vs Danang Dragons

Team pages: Ho Chi Minh City Wings · Danang Dragons

Prediction summary

Estimated points

168.7Total

Ho Chi Minh City Wings91.6

Danang Dragons77.1

1X2

85% 15%

Ho Chi Minh City Wings Danang Dragons

Recent form · 10 last

Ho Chi Minh City Wings 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWLLLW

Danang Dragons 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Ho Chi Minh City Wings 3–3 Danang Dragons (6 last)

Ho Chi Minh City Wings97-76Danang Dragons
Danang Dragons66-75Ho Chi Minh City Wings
Danang Dragons82-95Ho Chi Minh City Wings
Ho Chi Minh City Wings71-87Danang Dragons
Danang Dragons113-87Ho Chi Minh City Wings
Danang Dragons101-66Ho Chi Minh City Wings

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ho Chi Minh City Wings 1475 · Danang Dragons 1374

	Ho Chi Minh City Wings	Danang Dragons
Our model	75%	25%
Market	87%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 168.7 points · Bet365 line 172.5 · -3.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points168.7Ho Chi Minh City Wings 91.6 · Danang Dragons 77.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ho Chi Minh City Wings (rating 1475 vs 1374).
Ho Chi Minh City Wings is a clear favourite (85% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Ho Chi Minh City Wings	Danang Dragons
Points F\|A (Last 10)	83.4 / 86.2	77 / 94.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	88.2 / 89.6	75.6 / 91.8
Est. result	92	77

Est. total168.7

Line O/U172.5

Diff.3.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.08

27.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-13.5)1.74

2 (+13.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 172.51.83

Under 172.51.83

Diff.: 1.8 · Est. total: 170.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.12 → 1.08▼	Bet365 1.08
2	5.75 → 7.25▲	Bet365 7.25

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6.7%

Time*	1	2
18:43 +2’	1.12	5.75
22:31 +14’	1.08▼	7.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ho Chi Minh City Wings 3–0–3 Danang Dragons

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/07/26 Vietnam VBA	Ho Chi Minh City Wings	97-76	Danang Dragons
30/05/26 Vietnam VBA	Danang Dragons	66-75	Ho Chi Minh City Wings
28/05/26 Vietnam VBA	Danang Dragons	82-95	Ho Chi Minh City Wings
02/08/25 Vietnam VBA	Ho Chi Minh City Wings	71-87	Danang Dragons
15/06/25 Vietnam VBA	Danang Dragons	113-87	Ho Chi Minh City Wings
13/06/25 Vietnam VBA	Danang Dragons	101-66	Ho Chi Minh City Wings

Standings · Vietnam VBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Hanoi Buffaloes	14	13	1	1374	1190
2	Saigon Heat	12	9	3	1118	915
3	Ho Chi Minh City Wings	11	5	6	929	947
4	Nha Trang Dolphins	14	6	8	1232	1271
5	Cantho Catfish	14	6	8	1153	1232
6	Danang Dragons	13	0	13	996	1247

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ho Chi Minh City Wings	Danang Dragons
Hanoi Buffaloes	76-94 L	69-100 L
Cantho Catfish	95-100 L	85-88 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ho Chi Minh City Wings

WLLWLWLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/07	Danang Dragons Vietnam VBA	97-76	W
11/07	Hanoi Buffaloes Vietnam VBA	76-94	L
09/07	Hanoi Buffaloes Vietnam VBA	92-98	L
04/07	Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA	95-100	L
02/07	Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA	81-80	W
20/06	Nha Trang Dolphins Vietnam VBA	80-91	L
18/06	Nha Trang Dolphins Vietnam VBA	100-81	W
14/06	Hanoi Buffaloes Vietnam VBA	73-85	L
12/06	Hanoi Buffaloes Vietnam VBA	65-91	L
30/05	Danang Dragons Vietnam VBA	75-66	W

Danang Dragons

LLLLLLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/07	Ho Chi Minh City Wings Vietnam VBA	76-97	L
18/07	Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA	85-88	L
16/07	Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA	75-95	L
12/07	Saigon Heat Vietnam VBA	77-102	L
10/07	Saigon Heat Vietnam VBA	65-77	L
27/06	Hanoi Buffaloes Vietnam VBA	69-100	L
25/06	Hanoi Buffaloes Vietnam VBA	97-100	L
13/06	Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA	76-83	L
11/06	Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA	86-94	L
07/06	Saigon Heat Vietnam VBA	64-112	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ho Chi Minh City Wings vs Danang Dragons?

Our model gives 85% to Ho Chi Minh City Wings.

How many points are expected in Ho Chi Minh City Wings vs Danang Dragons?

The model estimates 168.7 total points (Ho Chi Minh City Wings 91.6 · Danang Dragons 77.1).