Basketball · Australia NBL1 West · 18/07, 14:00
Prediction: Lakeside Lightning vs Warwick Senators
Prediction summary
Estimated points
183.2Total
Lakeside Lightning95.5
Warwick Senators87.7
1X2
Lakeside Lightning
Warwick Senators
Recent form · 10 last
Lakeside Lightning
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Warwick Senators
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lakeside Lightning
4–2
Warwick Senators
(6 last)
Model analysis
Estimated points183.2Lakeside Lightning 95.5 · Warwick Senators 87.7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lakeside Lightning (rating 1495 vs 1429).
- Lakeside Lightning is a clear favourite (71% market).
- H2H favours Lakeside Lightning: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Lakeside Lightning | Warwick Senators | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 88.2 / 87.7 | 88.2 / 104.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 85.6 / 88.2 | 88.6 / 108.2 |
| Est. result | 96 | 88 |
Est. total183.2
Line O/U184
Diff.0.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lakeside Lightning 4–0–2 Warwick Senators
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/25 Australia NBL1 West | Lakeside Lightning | 79-117 | Warwick Senators |
| 19/07/24 Australia NBL1 West | Warwick Senators | 85-92 | Lakeside Lightning |
| 14/07/23 Australia NBL1 West | Lakeside Lightning | 98-94 | Warwick Senators |
| 30/07/22 Australia NBL1 West | Lakeside Lightning | 84-91 | Warwick Senators |
| 16/07/22 Australia NBL1 West | Warwick Senators | 101-108 | Lakeside Lightning |
| 18/06/21 Australia NBL1 West | Lakeside Lightning | 94-80 | Warwick Senators |
Standings · Australia NBL1 West
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Geraldton Buccaneers | 19 | 16 | 3 | 1875 | 1616 | 0 |
| 2 | Rockingham Flames | 20 | 16 | 4 | 2102 | 1754 | 0 |
| 3 | Joondalup Wolves | 20 | 14 | 6 | 1976 | 1821 | 0 |
| 4 | Cockburn Cougars | 19 | 13 | 6 | 1844 | 1686 | 0 |
| 5 | Willetton Tigers | 20 | 12 | 8 | 1963 | 1921 | 0 |
| 6 | Kalamunda Eastern Suns | 20 | 12 | 8 | 1862 | 1853 | 0 |
| 7 | Perry Lakes Hawks | 19 | 10 | 9 | 1851 | 1803 | 0 |
| 8 | East Perth Eagles | 20 | 10 | 10 | 1816 | 1828 | 0 |
| 9 | Lakeside Lightning | 20 | 8 | 12 | 1693 | 1782 | 0 |
| 10 | Mandurah Magic | 19 | 7 | 12 | 1780 | 1860 | 0 |
| 11 | Perth Redbacks | 19 | 7 | 12 | 1812 | 1905 | 0 |
| 12 | Goldfields Giants | 19 | 5 | 14 | 1605 | 1778 | 0 |
| 13 | Warwick Senators | 20 | 5 | 15 | 1774 | 2046 | 0 |
| 14 | South West Slammers | 20 | 2 | 18 | 1657 | 1957 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lakeside Lightning | Warwick Senators |
|---|---|---|
| Goldfields Giants | 89-85 W | 95-85 W |
| Willetton Tigers | 89-95 L | 89-100 L |
| Mandurah Magic | 91-75 W | 82-100 L |
| Rockingham Flames | 85-110 L | 68-100 L |
| Geraldton Buccaneers | 100-102 L | 64-111 L |
| South West Slammers | 99-77 W | 109-110 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Lakeside Lightning (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lakeside Lightning
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | East Perth Eagles Australia NBL1 West |
69-71 | L |
| 04/07 | Goldfields Giants Australia NBL1 West |
89-85 | W |
| 26/06 | Willetton Tigers Australia NBL1 West |
89-95 | L |
| 19/06 | Cockburn Cougars Australia NBL1 West |
90-103 | L |
| 13/06 | Perth Redbacks Australia NBL1 West |
91-87 | W |
| 12/06 | Willetton Tigers Australia NBL1 West |
79-72 | W |
| 06/06 | Mandurah Magic Australia NBL1 West |
91-75 | W |
| 30/05 | Rockingham Flames Australia NBL1 West |
85-110 | L |
| 24/05 | Geraldton Buccaneers Australia NBL1 West |
100-102 | L |
| 23/05 | South West Slammers Australia NBL1 West |
99-77 | W |
Warwick Senators
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Geraldton Buccaneers Australia NBL1 West |
64-111 | L |
| 11/07 | Willetton Tigers Australia NBL1 West |
89-100 | L |
| 04/07 | South West Slammers Australia NBL1 West |
109-110 | L |
| 27/06 | Mandurah Magic Australia NBL1 West |
82-100 | L |
| 19/06 | Kalamunda Eastern Suns Australia NBL1 West |
99-120 | L |
| 13/06 | Goldfields Giants Australia NBL1 West |
95-85 | W |
| 05/06 | Joondalup Wolves Australia NBL1 West |
84-113 | L |
| 31/05 | Geraldton Buccaneers Australia NBL1 West |
88-108 | L |
| 29/05 | Mandurah Magic Australia NBL1 West |
104-96 | W |
| 23/05 | Rockingham Flames Australia NBL1 West |
68-100 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lakeside Lightning vs Warwick Senators?
Our model gives 71% to Lakeside Lightning.
How many points are expected in Lakeside Lightning vs Warwick Senators?
The model estimates 183.2 total points (Lakeside Lightning 95.5 · Warwick Senators 87.7).