Basketball · Australia NBL1 West · 24/07, 14:30

Prediction: Rockingham Flames vs Perth Redbacks

Prediction summary

Estimated points

192.6Total

Rockingham Flames101.4

Perth Redbacks91.1

1X2

77% 23%

Rockingham Flames Perth Redbacks

Recent form · 10 last

Rockingham Flames 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Perth Redbacks 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Rockingham Flames 5–1 Perth Redbacks (6 last)

Model analysis

Estimated points192.6Rockingham Flames 101.4 · Perth Redbacks 91.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rockingham Flames (rating 1586 vs 1465).
Rockingham Flames is a clear favourite (77% market).
H2H favours Rockingham Flames: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Rockingham Flames	Perth Redbacks
Points F\|A (Last 10)	102.5 / 87.7	93.4 / 100.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	97.2 / 90	98.6 / 102.6
Est. result	101	91

Est. total192.6

Line O/U195

Diff.2.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1951.89

Under 1951.78

Diff.: 2.75 · Est. total: 192.25

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:45

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.01 → 1.01▲	Pinn 1.01
2	8.42 → 8.29▼	Pinn 8.29

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 10.8%

Time*	1	2
14:44 +1’	1.01	8.42
15:45	1.01▲	8.29▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rockingham Flames 5–0–1 Perth Redbacks

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/06/25 Australia NBL1 West	Perth Redbacks	97-98	Rockingham Flames
10/05/25 Australia NBL1 West	Rockingham Flames	102-78	Perth Redbacks
14/06/24 Australia NBL1 West	Perth Redbacks	87-90	Rockingham Flames
13/05/23 Australia NBL1 West	Rockingham Flames	52-79	Perth Redbacks
06/08/22 Australia NBL1 West	Rockingham Flames	117-90	Perth Redbacks
01/07/22 Australia NBL1 West	Perth Redbacks	110-114	Rockingham Flames

Standings · Australia NBL1 West

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Geraldton Buccaneers	20	17	3	1966	1689
2	Rockingham Flames	21	17	4	2209	1845
3	Joondalup Wolves	21	15	6	2068	1908
4	Cockburn Cougars	21	14	7	2028	1874
5	Kalamunda Eastern Suns	21	13	8	1964	1952
6	Perry Lakes Hawks	21	12	9	2070	1972
7	Willetton Tigers	21	12	9	2054	2028
8	East Perth Eagles	21	10	11	1889	1919
9	Lakeside Lightning	21	8	13	1791	1891
10	Perth Redbacks	21	8	13	1999	2110
11	Mandurah Magic	21	7	14	1970	2078
12	Warwick Senators	21	6	15	1883	2144
13	Goldfields Giants	20	5	15	1692	1870
14	South West Slammers	21	2	19	1756	2059

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rockingham Flames	Perth Redbacks
Joondalup Wolves	97-69 W	94-107 L
Perry Lakes Hawks	88-110 L	117-108 W
Geraldton Buccaneers	93-102 L	86-118 L
South West Slammers	101-78 W	92-81 W
East Perth Eagles	109-92 W	87-108 L
Cockburn Cougars	108-89 W	83-103 L
Lakeside Lightning	110-85 W	87-91 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Rockingham Flames (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rockingham Flames

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/07	Willetton Tigers Australia NBL1 West	107-91	W
11/07	Joondalup Wolves Australia NBL1 West	97-69	W
09/07	Perry Lakes Hawks Australia NBL1 West	88-110	L
04/07	Geraldton Buccaneers Australia NBL1 West	93-102	L
26/06	South West Slammers Australia NBL1 West	101-78	W
21/06	Geraldton Buccaneers Australia NBL1 West	92-75	W
20/06	East Perth Eagles Australia NBL1 West	109-92	W
12/06	Cockburn Cougars Australia NBL1 West	108-89	W
06/06	East Perth Eagles Australia NBL1 West	120-86	W
30/05	Lakeside Lightning Australia NBL1 West	110-85	W

Perth Redbacks

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/07	Cockburn Cougars Australia NBL1 West	83-103	L
17/07	Mandurah Magic Australia NBL1 West	104-102	W
11/07	East Perth Eagles Australia NBL1 West	87-108	L
10/07	Kalamunda Eastern Suns Australia NBL1 West	102-92	W
04/07	Perry Lakes Hawks Australia NBL1 West	117-108	W
27/06	Geraldton Buccaneers Australia NBL1 West	86-118	L
20/06	Joondalup Wolves Australia NBL1 West	94-107	L
13/06	Lakeside Lightning Australia NBL1 West	87-91	L
12/06	Kalamunda Eastern Suns Australia NBL1 West	82-99	L
05/06	South West Slammers Australia NBL1 West	92-81	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rockingham Flames vs Perth Redbacks?

Our model gives 77% to Rockingham Flames.

How many points are expected in Rockingham Flames vs Perth Redbacks?

The model estimates 192.6 total points (Rockingham Flames 101.4 · Perth Redbacks 91.1).