Basketball · Australia NBL1 West · 18/07, 14:00
Prediction: Rockingham Flames vs Willetton Tigers
Prediction summary
Estimated points
194.9Total
Rockingham Flames102.6
Willetton Tigers92.3
1X2
Rockingham Flames
Willetton Tigers
Markets
Under 197 points 65%
Recent form · 10 last
Rockingham Flames
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Willetton Tigers
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rockingham Flames
3–3
Willetton Tigers
(6 last)
Model analysis
Estimated points194.9Rockingham Flames 102.6 · Willetton Tigers 92.3
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rockingham Flames (rating 1594 vs 1477).
- Rockingham Flames is a clear favourite (77% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Rockingham Flames | Willetton Tigers | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 101.8 / 85.4 | 93.7 / 98.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 94.2 / 86.8 | 95.8 / 97.2 |
| Est. result | 103 | 92 |
Est. total194.9
Line O/U197
Diff.2.1
Over / Under35% / 65%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rockingham Flames 3–0–3 Willetton Tigers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Australia NBL1 West | Willetton Tigers | 100-115 | Rockingham Flames |
| 09/08/25 Australia NBL1 West | Rockingham Flames | 102-121 | Willetton Tigers |
| 18/07/25 Australia NBL1 West | Rockingham Flames | 105-102 | Willetton Tigers |
| 17/04/25 Australia NBL1 West | Willetton Tigers | 102-104 | Rockingham Flames |
| 01/08/24 Australia NBL1 West | Willetton Tigers | 108-103 | Rockingham Flames |
| 25/05/24 Australia NBL1 West | Willetton Tigers | 115-80 | Rockingham Flames |
Standings · Australia NBL1 West
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Geraldton Buccaneers | 19 | 16 | 3 | 1875 | 1616 | 0 |
| 2 | Rockingham Flames | 20 | 16 | 4 | 2102 | 1754 | 0 |
| 3 | Joondalup Wolves | 20 | 14 | 6 | 1976 | 1821 | 0 |
| 4 | Cockburn Cougars | 19 | 13 | 6 | 1844 | 1686 | 0 |
| 5 | Willetton Tigers | 20 | 12 | 8 | 1963 | 1921 | 0 |
| 6 | Kalamunda Eastern Suns | 20 | 12 | 8 | 1862 | 1853 | 0 |
| 7 | Perry Lakes Hawks | 19 | 10 | 9 | 1851 | 1803 | 0 |
| 8 | East Perth Eagles | 20 | 10 | 10 | 1816 | 1828 | 0 |
| 9 | Lakeside Lightning | 20 | 8 | 12 | 1693 | 1782 | 0 |
| 10 | Mandurah Magic | 19 | 7 | 12 | 1780 | 1860 | 0 |
| 11 | Perth Redbacks | 19 | 7 | 12 | 1812 | 1905 | 0 |
| 12 | Goldfields Giants | 19 | 5 | 14 | 1605 | 1778 | 0 |
| 13 | Warwick Senators | 20 | 5 | 15 | 1774 | 2046 | 0 |
| 14 | South West Slammers | 20 | 2 | 18 | 1657 | 1957 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rockingham Flames | Willetton Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Joondalup Wolves | 97-69 W | 94-89 W |
| Perry Lakes Hawks | 88-110 L | 108-111 L |
| Geraldton Buccaneers | 93-102 L | 92-118 L |
| Cockburn Cougars | 108-89 W | 84-103 L |
| Lakeside Lightning | 110-85 W | 95-89 W |
| Warwick Senators | 100-68 W | 100-89 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Rockingham Flames (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rockingham Flames
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Joondalup Wolves Australia NBL1 West |
97-69 | W |
| 09/07 | Perry Lakes Hawks Australia NBL1 West |
88-110 | L |
| 04/07 | Geraldton Buccaneers Australia NBL1 West |
93-102 | L |
| 26/06 | South West Slammers Australia NBL1 West |
101-78 | W |
| 21/06 | Geraldton Buccaneers Australia NBL1 West |
92-75 | W |
| 20/06 | East Perth Eagles Australia NBL1 West |
109-92 | W |
| 12/06 | Cockburn Cougars Australia NBL1 West |
108-89 | W |
| 06/06 | East Perth Eagles Australia NBL1 West |
120-86 | W |
| 30/05 | Lakeside Lightning Australia NBL1 West |
110-85 | W |
| 23/05 | Warwick Senators Australia NBL1 West |
100-68 | W |
Willetton Tigers
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Warwick Senators Australia NBL1 West |
100-89 | W |
| 10/07 | Mandurah Magic Australia NBL1 West |
98-101 | L |
| 05/07 | Geraldton Buccaneers Australia NBL1 West |
92-118 | L |
| 03/07 | Joondalup Wolves Australia NBL1 West |
94-89 | W |
| 26/06 | Lakeside Lightning Australia NBL1 West |
95-89 | W |
| 20/06 | Cockburn Cougars Australia NBL1 West |
84-103 | L |
| 19/06 | Perry Lakes Hawks Australia NBL1 West |
108-111 | L |
| 12/06 | Lakeside Lightning Australia NBL1 West |
72-79 | L |
| 31/05 | Goldfields Giants Australia NBL1 West |
98-87 | W |
| 22/05 | Joondalup Wolves Australia NBL1 West |
96-118 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rockingham Flames vs Willetton Tigers?
Our model gives 77% to Rockingham Flames.
How many points are expected in Rockingham Flames vs Willetton Tigers?
The model estimates 194.9 total points (Rockingham Flames 102.6 · Willetton Tigers 92.3).