Basketball · Australia NBL1 North · 04/07, 12:00

Prediction: Rockhampton Rockets vs Townsville Heat

Estimated 198 total points (Rockhampton Rockets 99.1 · Townsville Heat 98.9).

Recent form leaves Rockhampton Rockets with 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses over 10 games; Townsville Heat has piled up 2-0-8 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Rockhampton Rockets won 1 and Townsville Heat 5.

55%1
55% 45%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rockhampton Rockets 1416 · Townsville Heat 1425
Rockhampton RocketsTownsville Heat
Our model61%39%
Market53%47%
Estimated total (ours) 198 points · Bet365 line 191.5 · +6.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points198Rockhampton Rockets 99.1 · Townsville Heat 98.9

Match keys

  • H2H favours Townsville Heat: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

Rockhampton RocketsTownsville Heat
Points F|A (Last 10)96.9 / 107.789.9 / 100.5
Points F|A (Last 5)98.6 / 117.488.6 / 105.8
Est. result9999
Est. total198
Line O/U191.5
Diff.6.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rockhampton Rockets 105 Townsville Heat

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/07/25
Australia NBL1 North
Townsville Heat107-97Rockhampton Rockets
09/05/25
Australia NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets67-89Townsville Heat
08/06/24
Australia NBL1 North
Townsville Heat88-97Rockhampton Rockets
13/04/24
Australia NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets90-97Townsville Heat
30/06/23
Australia NBL1 North
Townsville Heat101-69Rockhampton Rockets
01/04/23
Australia NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets102-103Townsville Heat

Standings · Australia NBL1 North

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Cairns Marlins 12120 125810000
2 Gold Coast Rollers 12102 131611180
3 Sunshine Coast Phoenix 1293 119710420
4 Logan Thunder 1183 11299840
5 Mackay Meteors 1275 118011790
6 Ipswich Force 1376 127012360
7 Brisbane Capitals 1367 120412520
8 Southern Districts Spartans 1468 134113860
9 Northside Wizards 1248 110411830
10 South West Metro Pirates 1349 111513110
11 Townsville Heat 1239 105711830
12 Rockhampton Rockets 12210 113312740
13 North Gold Coast Seahawks 12210 102511810

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRockhampton RocketsTownsville Heat
Mackay Meteors 99-118 L 77-95 L
Cairns Marlins 85-118 L 86-96 L
Ipswich Force 106-112 L 92-131 L
Northside Wizards 95-112 L 99-96 W
North Gold Coast Seahawks 104-78 W 87-90 L
Gold Coast Rollers 94-130 L 83-110 L
Brisbane Capitals 79-85 L 110-92 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 6 L 2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Townsville Heat (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rockhampton Rockets

LWLWLLLLLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
27/06 Mackay Meteors
Australia NBL1 North
99-118 L
12/06 Cairns Marlins
Australia NBL1 North
85-118 L
07/06 Ipswich Force
Australia NBL1 North
106-112 L
06/06 South West Metro Pirates
Australia NBL1 North
111-122 L
05/06 Logan Thunder
Australia NBL1 North
92-117 L
30/05 Northside Wizards
Australia NBL1 North
95-112 L
24/05 North Gold Coast Seahawks
Australia NBL1 North
104-78 W
23/05 Gold Coast Rollers
Australia NBL1 North
94-130 L
16/05 Mackay Meteors
Australia NBL1 North
104-85 W
10/05 Brisbane Capitals
Australia NBL1 North
79-85 L

Townsville Heat

LWLLWLLLLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
03/07 Mackay Meteors
Australia NBL1 North
77-95 L
27/06 Ipswich Force
Australia NBL1 North
92-131 L
19/06 Cairns Marlins
Australia NBL1 North
86-96 L
13/06 North Gold Coast Seahawks
Australia NBL1 North
87-90 L
07/06 Southern Districts Spartans
Australia NBL1 North
101-117 L
06/06 Brisbane Capitals
Australia NBL1 North
110-92 W
29/05 Gold Coast Rollers
Australia NBL1 North
83-110 L
22/05 Mackay Meteors
Australia NBL1 North
89-92 L
16/05 Northside Wizards
Australia NBL1 North
99-96 W
15/05 Sunshine Coast Phoenix
Australia NBL1 North
75-86 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rockhampton Rockets vs Townsville Heat?

Our model gives 55% to Rockhampton Rockets.

How many points are expected in Rockhampton Rockets vs Townsville Heat?

The model estimates 198 total points (Rockhampton Rockets 99.1 · Townsville Heat 98.9).