Prediction: Logan Thunder vs Northside Wizards
Estimated 193.5 total points (Logan Thunder 102.2 · Northside Wizards 91.3). Over 189.5 points (70% of recent history, magic 6).
Over its last 10 matches, Logan Thunder sits at 7-0-3 (W-D-L), while Northside Wizards arrives on a 4-0-6 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Logan Thunder won 4 and Northside Wizards 2.
| Logan Thunder | Northside Wizards | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 26% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Logan Thunder (rating 1558 vs 1466).
- Logan Thunder is a clear favourite (81% market).
- H2H favours Logan Thunder: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Logan Thunder | Northside Wizards | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 104.2 / 90.7 | 95.1 / 99.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 111.8 / 89.8 | 93.4 / 97.8 |
| Est. result | 102 | 91 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Logan Thunder 4–0–2 Northside Wizards
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/25 Australia NBL1 North | Northside Wizards | 84-93 | Logan Thunder |
| 04/05/24 Australia NBL1 North | Logan Thunder | 104-92 | Northside Wizards |
| 01/04/23 Australia NBL1 North | Northside Wizards | 90-84 | Logan Thunder |
| 29/07/22 Australia NBL1 North | Logan Thunder | 101-110 | Northside Wizards |
| 30/05/21 Australia NBL1 North | Logan Thunder | 93-74 | Northside Wizards |
| 10/10/20 Australia QSL Div 1 | Northside Wizards | 71-104 | Logan Thunder |
Standings · Australia NBL1 North
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cairns Marlins | 12 | 12 | 0 | 1258 | 1000 | 0 |
| 2 | Gold Coast Rollers | 12 | 10 | 2 | 1316 | 1118 | 0 |
| 3 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix | 12 | 9 | 3 | 1197 | 1042 | 0 |
| 4 | Logan Thunder | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1129 | 984 | 0 |
| 5 | Mackay Meteors | 12 | 7 | 5 | 1180 | 1179 | 0 |
| 6 | Ipswich Force | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1270 | 1236 | 0 |
| 7 | Brisbane Capitals | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1204 | 1252 | 0 |
| 8 | Southern Districts Spartans | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1341 | 1386 | 0 |
| 9 | Northside Wizards | 12 | 4 | 8 | 1104 | 1183 | 0 |
| 10 | South West Metro Pirates | 13 | 4 | 9 | 1115 | 1311 | 0 |
| 11 | Townsville Heat | 12 | 3 | 9 | 1057 | 1183 | 0 |
| 12 | Rockhampton Rockets | 12 | 2 | 10 | 1133 | 1274 | 0 |
| 13 | North Gold Coast Seahawks | 12 | 2 | 10 | 1025 | 1181 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Logan Thunder | Northside Wizards |
|---|---|---|
| South West Metro Pirates | 112-85 W | 104-71 W |
| Southern Districts Spartans | 124-84 W | 101-92 W |
| Rockhampton Rockets | 117-92 W | 112-95 W |
| Sunshine Coast Phoenix | 87-116 L | 80-84 L |
| Gold Coast Rollers | 96-104 L | 90-118 L |
| Ipswich Force | 102-83 W | 81-121 L |
| Mackay Meteors | 103-77 W | 92-114 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Logan Thunder (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Logan Thunder
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | South West Metro Pirates Australia NBL1 North |
112-85 | W |
| 28/06 | North Gold Coast Seahawks Australia NBL1 North |
105-85 | W |
| 20/06 | South West Metro Pirates Australia NBL1 North |
101-103 | L |
| 13/06 | Southern Districts Spartans Australia NBL1 North |
124-84 | W |
| 05/06 | Rockhampton Rockets Australia NBL1 North |
117-92 | W |
| 30/05 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix Australia NBL1 North |
87-116 | L |
| 29/05 | North Gold Coast Seahawks Australia NBL1 North |
95-78 | W |
| 15/05 | Gold Coast Rollers Australia NBL1 North |
96-104 | L |
| 09/05 | Ipswich Force Australia NBL1 North |
102-83 | W |
| 01/05 | Mackay Meteors Australia NBL1 North |
103-77 | W |
Northside Wizards
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | South West Metro Pirates Australia NBL1 North |
104-71 | W |
| 21/06 | Gold Coast Rollers Australia NBL1 North |
90-118 | L |
| 14/06 | Ipswich Force Australia NBL1 North |
81-121 | L |
| 06/06 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix Australia NBL1 North |
80-84 | L |
| 30/05 | Rockhampton Rockets Australia NBL1 North |
112-95 | W |
| 29/05 | Mackay Meteors Australia NBL1 North |
92-114 | L |
| 23/05 | Southern Districts Spartans Australia NBL1 North |
101-92 | W |
| 22/05 | Brisbane Capitals Australia NBL1 North |
88-100 | L |
| 16/05 | Townsville Heat Australia NBL1 North |
96-99 | L |
| 09/05 | Southern Districts Spartans Australia NBL1 North |
107-101 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Logan Thunder vs Northside Wizards?
Our model gives 81% to Logan Thunder.
How many points are expected in Logan Thunder vs Northside Wizards?
The model estimates 193.5 total points (Logan Thunder 102.2 · Northside Wizards 91.3).
Over or under 189.5 points?
Recent history points to over 189.5 points (70%).