Prediction: North Gold Coast Seahawks vs Cairns Marlins
Estimated 185.8 total points (North Gold Coast Seahawks 84.4 · Cairns Marlins 101.3).
On recent form, North Gold Coast Seahawks is 2-0-8 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Cairns Marlins 10-0-0 over its own. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for North Gold Coast Seahawks and 2 for Cairns Marlins.
| North Gold Coast Seahawks | Cairns Marlins | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cairns Marlins (rating 1414 vs 1633).
- Cairns Marlins is a clear favourite (87% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| North Gold Coast Seahawks | Cairns Marlins | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 86.4 / 98.2 | 105.3 / 85.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 86.2 / 95.8 | 105.2 / 88 |
| Est. result | 84 | 101 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · North Gold Coast Seahawks 2–0–2 Cairns Marlins
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/24 Australia NBL1 North | Cairns Marlins | 104-86 | North Gold Coast Seahawks |
| 22/04/23 Australia NBL1 North | North Gold Coast Seahawks | 98-90 | Cairns Marlins |
| 09/07/22 Australia NBL1 North | Cairns Marlins | 90-79 | North Gold Coast Seahawks |
| 26/04/19 Australia QBL | North Gold Coast Seahawks | 84-73 | Cairns Marlins |
Standings · Australia NBL1 North
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cairns Marlins | 12 | 12 | 0 | 1258 | 1000 | 0 |
| 2 | Gold Coast Rollers | 12 | 10 | 2 | 1316 | 1118 | 0 |
| 3 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix | 12 | 9 | 3 | 1197 | 1042 | 0 |
| 4 | Logan Thunder | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1129 | 984 | 0 |
| 5 | Mackay Meteors | 12 | 7 | 5 | 1180 | 1179 | 0 |
| 6 | Ipswich Force | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1270 | 1236 | 0 |
| 7 | Brisbane Capitals | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1204 | 1252 | 0 |
| 8 | Southern Districts Spartans | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1341 | 1386 | 0 |
| 9 | Northside Wizards | 12 | 4 | 8 | 1104 | 1183 | 0 |
| 10 | South West Metro Pirates | 13 | 4 | 9 | 1115 | 1311 | 0 |
| 11 | Townsville Heat | 12 | 3 | 9 | 1057 | 1183 | 0 |
| 12 | Rockhampton Rockets | 12 | 2 | 10 | 1133 | 1274 | 0 |
| 13 | North Gold Coast Seahawks | 12 | 2 | 10 | 1025 | 1181 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | North Gold Coast Seahawks | Cairns Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Townsville Heat | 90-87 W | 96-86 W |
| Mackay Meteors | 84-99 L | 111-91 W |
| Ipswich Force | 74-86 L | 106-91 W |
| Rockhampton Rockets | 78-104 L | 118-85 W |
| Southern Districts Spartans | 83-97 L | 99-83 W |
| Gold Coast Rollers | 99-125 L | 103-98 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 6 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Cairns Marlins (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
North Gold Coast Seahawks
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Logan Thunder Australia NBL1 North |
85-105 | L |
| 21/06 | South West Metro Pirates Australia NBL1 North |
98-102 | L |
| 13/06 | Townsville Heat Australia NBL1 North |
90-87 | W |
| 12/06 | Mackay Meteors Australia NBL1 North |
84-99 | L |
| 06/06 | Ipswich Force Australia NBL1 North |
74-86 | L |
| 29/05 | Logan Thunder Australia NBL1 North |
78-95 | L |
| 24/05 | Rockhampton Rockets Australia NBL1 North |
78-104 | L |
| 23/05 | South West Metro Pirates Australia NBL1 North |
95-82 | W |
| 16/05 | Southern Districts Spartans Australia NBL1 North |
83-97 | L |
| 02/05 | Gold Coast Rollers Australia NBL1 North |
99-125 | L |
Cairns Marlins
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Southern Districts Spartans Australia NBL1 North |
99-83 | W |
| 26/06 | Ipswich Force Australia NBL1 North |
106-91 | W |
| 20/06 | Mackay Meteors Australia NBL1 North |
111-91 | W |
| 19/06 | Townsville Heat Australia NBL1 North |
96-86 | W |
| 13/06 | Brisbane Capitals Australia NBL1 North |
114-89 | W |
| 12/06 | Rockhampton Rockets Australia NBL1 North |
118-85 | W |
| 30/05 | Gold Coast Rollers Australia NBL1 North |
103-98 | W |
| 23/05 | Mackay Meteors Australia NBL1 North |
110-83 | W |
| 09/05 | Townsville Heat Australia NBL1 North |
97-74 | W |
| 02/05 | Northside Wizards Australia NBL1 North |
99-72 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in North Gold Coast Seahawks vs Cairns Marlins?
Our model gives 87% to Cairns Marlins.
How many points are expected in North Gold Coast Seahawks vs Cairns Marlins?
The model estimates 185.8 total points (North Gold Coast Seahawks 84.4 · Cairns Marlins 101.3).