Prediction: Keilor Thunder vs Casey Cavaliers
Estimated 178 total points (Keilor Thunder 89.7 · Casey Cavaliers 88.3). Under 185.5 points (65% of recent history, magic 11).
Recent form leaves Keilor Thunder with 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Casey Cavaliers has piled up 7-0-3 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Keilor Thunder won 2 and Casey Cavaliers 4.
Match keys
- H2H favours Casey Cavaliers: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Keilor Thunder | Casey Cavaliers | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 91.5 / 85.7 | 93.9 / 87.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 86 / 80.6 | 83.6 / 88 |
| Est. result | 90 | 88 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Keilor Thunder 2–0–4 Casey Cavaliers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 Australia NBL1 South | Casey Cavaliers | 67-78 | Keilor Thunder |
| 31/05/25 Australia NBL1 South | Keilor Thunder | 80-90 | Casey Cavaliers |
| 20/04/24 Australia NBL1 South | Keilor Thunder | 69-87 | Casey Cavaliers |
| 16/07/23 Australia NBL1 South | Casey Cavaliers | 98-63 | Keilor Thunder |
| 13/08/22 Australia NBL1 South | Keilor Thunder | 75-67 | Casey Cavaliers |
| 03/07/21 Australia Big V | Keilor Thunder | 67-68 | Casey Cavaliers |
Standings · Australia NBL1 South
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melbourne Tigers | 19 | 15 | 4 | 1742 | 1519 | 0 |
| 2 | Eltham Wildcats | 18 | 14 | 4 | 1630 | 1432 | 0 |
| 3 | Nunawading Spectres | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1928 | 1713 | 0 |
| 4 | Knox Raiders | 19 | 13 | 6 | 1873 | 1741 | 0 |
| 5 | Frankston Blues | 18 | 12 | 6 | 1704 | 1660 | 0 |
| 6 | Keilor Thunder | 19 | 12 | 7 | 1767 | 1660 | 0 |
| 7 | Casey Cavaliers | 18 | 11 | 7 | 1691 | 1620 | 0 |
| 8 | Kilsyth Cobras | 17 | 10 | 7 | 1527 | 1517 | 0 |
| 9 | Sandringham Sabres | 18 | 10 | 8 | 1681 | 1583 | 0 |
| 10 | Dandenong Rangers | 19 | 10 | 9 | 1799 | 1768 | 0 |
| 11 | Ringwood Hawks | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1709 | 1829 | 0 |
| 12 | Diamond Valley Eagles | 18 | 7 | 11 | 1630 | 1673 | 0 |
| 13 | Bendigo Braves | 18 | 7 | 11 | 1536 | 1639 | 0 |
| 14 | Waverley Falcons | 18 | 7 | 11 | 1615 | 1638 | 0 |
| 15 | Hobart Chargers | 19 | 7 | 12 | 1729 | 1828 | 0 |
| 16 | Northern Force | 18 | 6 | 12 | 1644 | 1801 | 0 |
| 17 | Geelong United | 18 | 5 | 13 | 1517 | 1652 | 0 |
| 18 | Mount Gambier Pioneers | 19 | 5 | 14 | 1715 | 1866 | 0 |
| 19 | Ballarat Miners | 19 | 2 | 17 | 1675 | 1973 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Keilor Thunder | Casey Cavaliers |
|---|---|---|
| Ballarat Miners | 116-98 W | 117-106 W |
| Melbourne Tigers | 80-95 L | 83-75 W |
| Kilsyth Cobras | 88-99 L | 86-105 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Keilor Thunder (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Keilor Thunder
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Ringwood Hawks Australia NBL1 South |
88-82 | W |
| 21/06 | Waverley Falcons Australia NBL1 South |
96-86 | W |
| 20/06 | Eltham Wildcats Australia NBL1 South |
81-90 | L |
| 14/06 | Casey Cavaliers Australia NBL1 South |
78-67 | W |
| 13/06 | Sandringham Sabres Australia NBL1 South |
87-78 | W |
| 05/06 | Ballarat Miners Australia NBL1 South |
116-98 | W |
| 30/05 | Melbourne Tigers Australia NBL1 South |
80-95 | L |
| 24/05 | Dandenong Rangers Australia NBL1 South |
94-79 | W |
| 16/05 | Kilsyth Cobras Australia NBL1 South |
88-99 | L |
| 10/05 | Hobart Chargers Australia NBL1 South |
107-83 | W |
Casey Cavaliers
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Kilsyth Cobras Australia NBL1 South |
86-105 | L |
| 27/06 | Bendigo Braves Australia NBL1 South |
96-84 | W |
| 21/06 | Geelong United Australia NBL1 South |
89-83 | W |
| 20/06 | Diamond Valley Eagles Australia NBL1 South |
80-90 | L |
| 14/06 | Keilor Thunder Australia NBL1 South |
67-78 | L |
| 13/06 | Ballarat Miners Australia NBL1 South |
117-106 | W |
| 05/06 | Melbourne Tigers Australia NBL1 South |
83-75 | W |
| 23/05 | Mount Gambier Pioneers Australia NBL1 South |
109-85 | W |
| 17/05 | Bendigo Braves Australia NBL1 South |
109-76 | W |
| 16/05 | Nunawading Spectres Australia NBL1 South |
103-95 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Keilor Thunder vs Casey Cavaliers?
Our model gives 64% to Keilor Thunder.
How many points are expected in Keilor Thunder vs Casey Cavaliers?
The model estimates 178 total points (Keilor Thunder 89.7 · Casey Cavaliers 88.3).
Over or under 185.5 points?
Recent history points to under 185.5 points (65%).