Basketball · Australia NBL1 East · 04/07, 10:15
Prediction: Hills Hornets vs Maitland Mustangs
Estimated 167.3 total points (Hills Hornets 78.1 · Maitland Mustangs 89.2).
Over its last 10 matches, Hills Hornets sits at 3-0-7 (W-D-L), while Maitland Mustangs arrives on a 8-0-2 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Hills Hornets won 2 and Maitland Mustangs 4.
56%2
Model analysis
Estimated points167.3Hills Hornets 78.1 · Maitland Mustangs 89.2
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maitland Mustangs (rating 1444 vs 1576).
- H2H favours Maitland Mustangs: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Hills Hornets | Maitland Mustangs | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 78.3 / 84.8 | 93.1 / 78.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 83.8 / 80.4 | 92.8 / 81.2 |
| Est. result | 78 | 89 |
Est. total167.3
Line O/U167
Diff.0.3
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hills Hornets 2–0–4 Maitland Mustangs
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Australia NBL1 East | Maitland Mustangs | 102-84 | Hills Hornets |
| 12/04/25 Australia NBL1 East | Maitland Mustangs | 88-84 | Hills Hornets |
| 11/05/24 Australia NBL1 East | Maitland Mustangs | 86-101 | Hills Hornets |
| 29/04/23 Australia NBL1 East | Hills Hornets | 82-76 | Maitland Mustangs |
| 16/07/22 Australia NBL1 East | Hills Hornets | 90-95 | Maitland Mustangs |
| 09/04/22 Australia NBL1 East | Maitland Mustangs | 87-84 | Hills Hornets |
Standings · Australia NBL1 East
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norths Bears | 16 | 13 | 3 | 1411 | 1240 | 0 |
| 2 | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 1468 | 1282 | 0 |
| 3 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | 17 | 13 | 4 | 1443 | 1261 | 0 |
| 4 | BA Coe | 20 | 13 | 7 | 1669 | 1499 | 0 |
| 5 | Maitland Mustangs | 16 | 10 | 6 | 1408 | 1277 | 0 |
| 6 | Sutherland Sharks | 15 | 9 | 6 | 1322 | 1248 | 0 |
| 7 | Canberra Gunners | 17 | 10 | 7 | 1430 | 1370 | 0 |
| 8 | Central Coast Crusaders | 17 | 9 | 8 | 1448 | 1484 | 0 |
| 9 | Inner West Bulls | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1295 | 1331 | 0 |
| 10 | Sydney Comets | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1213 | 1203 | 0 |
| 11 | Bankstown Bruins | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1408 | 1493 | 0 |
| 12 | Hills Hornets | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1254 | 1359 | 0 |
| 13 | Newcastle Falcons | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1216 | 1294 | 0 |
| 14 | Hornsby Spiders | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1314 | 1428 | 0 |
| 15 | Albury Wodonga Bandits | 16 | 2 | 14 | 1301 | 1600 | 0 |
| 16 | Penrith Panthers | 15 | 1 | 14 | 1059 | 1290 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hills Hornets | Maitland Mustangs |
|---|---|---|
| Albury Wodonga Bandits | 75-84 L | 103-79 W |
| Inner West Bulls | 82-74 W | 91-72 W |
| Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | 60-74 L | 85-61 W |
| Sydney Comets | 74-79 L | 85-67 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Maitland Mustangs (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hills Hornets
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 Australia NBL1 East |
105-98 | W |
| 21/06 | Sutherland Sharks Australia NBL1 East |
73-80 | L |
| 20/06 | Hornsby Spiders Australia NBL1 East |
84-66 | W |
| 14/06 | Albury Wodonga Bandits Australia NBL1 East |
75-84 | L |
| 31/05 | Inner West Bulls Australia NBL1 East |
82-74 | W |
| 30/05 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Australia NBL1 East |
60-74 | L |
| 23/05 | Maitland Mustangs Australia NBL1 East |
84-102 | L |
| 16/05 | BA Coe Australia NBL1 East |
69-88 | L |
| 10/05 | Canberra Gunners Australia NBL1 East |
77-103 | L |
| 09/05 | Sydney Comets Australia NBL1 East |
74-79 | L |
Maitland Mustangs
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Central Coast Crusaders Australia NBL1 East |
107-87 | W |
| 20/06 | Penrith Panthers Australia NBL1 East |
95-81 | W |
| 14/06 | Inner West Bulls Australia NBL1 East |
91-72 | W |
| 13/06 | Sydney Comets Australia NBL1 East |
85-67 | W |
| 30/05 | Norths Bears Australia NBL1 East |
86-99 | L |
| 24/05 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Australia NBL1 East |
85-61 | W |
| 23/05 | Hills Hornets Australia NBL1 East |
102-84 | W |
| 16/05 | Newcastle Falcons Australia NBL1 East |
73-81 | L |
| 09/05 | Albury Wodonga Bandits Australia NBL1 East |
103-79 | W |
| 02/05 | Bankstown Bruins Australia NBL1 East |
104-78 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hills Hornets vs Maitland Mustangs?
Our model gives 56% to Maitland Mustangs.
How many points are expected in Hills Hornets vs Maitland Mustangs?
The model estimates 167.3 total points (Hills Hornets 78.1 · Maitland Mustangs 89.2).