Basketball · Australia NBL1 East · 04/07, 11:00

Prediction: Illawarra Hawks NBL1 vs Albury Wodonga Bandits

Estimated 188.3 total points (Illawarra Hawks NBL1 102.3 · Albury Wodonga Bandits 86).

Recent form leaves Illawarra Hawks NBL1 with 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Albury Wodonga Bandits has piled up 2-0-8 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Illawarra Hawks NBL1 won 3 and Albury Wodonga Bandits 3.

91%1
91% 9%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Illawarra Hawks NBL1 1580 · Albury Wodonga Bandits 1421
Illawarra Hawks NBL1Albury Wodonga Bandits
Our model81%19%
Market94%6%
Estimated total (ours) 188.3 points · Bet365 line 183.5 · +4.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points188.3Illawarra Hawks NBL1 102.3 · Albury Wodonga Bandits 86

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Illawarra Hawks NBL1 (rating 1580 vs 1421).
  • Illawarra Hawks NBL1 is a clear favourite (91% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

Illawarra Hawks NBL1Albury Wodonga Bandits
Points F|A (Last 10)98.3 / 86.583.8 / 97.9
Points F|A (Last 5)96 / 91.885.4 / 97.4
Est. result10286
Est. total188.3
Line O/U183.5
Diff.4.8

Head-to-head (H2H) · Illawarra Hawks NBL1 303 Albury Wodonga Bandits

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DateHomeScoreAway
30/05/26
Australia NBL1 East
Albury Wodonga Bandits102-111Illawarra Hawks NBL1
05/07/25
Australia NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks NBL1122-90Albury Wodonga Bandits
27/04/24
Australia NBL1 East
Albury Wodonga Bandits113-91Illawarra Hawks NBL1
13/05/23
Australia NBL1 East
Albury Wodonga Bandits93-86Illawarra Hawks NBL1
07/08/22
Australia NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks NBL1113-84Albury Wodonga Bandits
09/04/22
Australia NBL1 East
Albury Wodonga Bandits101-93Illawarra Hawks NBL1

Standings · Australia NBL1 East

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Norths Bears 16133 141112400
2 Illawarra Hawks NBL1 15123 146812820
3 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 17134 144312610
4 BA Coe 20137 166914990
5 Maitland Mustangs 16106 140812770
6 Sutherland Sharks 1596 132212480
7 Canberra Gunners 17107 143013700
8 Central Coast Crusaders 1798 144814840
9 Inner West Bulls 1688 129513310
10 Sydney Comets 1679 121312030
11 Bankstown Bruins 16610 140814930
12 Hills Hornets 16610 125413590
13 Newcastle Falcons 16610 121612940
14 Hornsby Spiders 16511 131414280
15 Albury Wodonga Bandits 16214 130116000
16 Penrith Panthers 15114 105912900

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentIllawarra Hawks NBL1Albury Wodonga Bandits
Hills Hornets 98-105 L 84-75 W
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 77-82 L 70-111 L
Newcastle Falcons 94-69 W 92-93 L
Inner West Bulls 97-76 W 98-80 W
BA Coe 107-95 W 72-113 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Illawarra Hawks NBL1 (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Illawarra Hawks NBL1

WWWWWWWLWL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
27/06 Hills Hornets
Australia NBL1 East
98-105 L
21/06 Bankstown Bruins
Australia NBL1 East
92-77 W
20/06 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
Australia NBL1 East
77-82 L
13/06 Canberra Gunners
Australia NBL1 East
102-93 W
30/05 Albury Wodonga Bandits
Australia NBL1 East
111-102 W
23/05 Newcastle Falcons
Australia NBL1 East
94-69 W
16/05 Penrith Panthers
Australia NBL1 East
94-84 W
09/05 Inner West Bulls
Australia NBL1 East
97-76 W
02/05 BA Coe
Australia NBL1 East
107-95 W
26/04 Norths Bears
Australia NBL1 East
111-82 W

Albury Wodonga Bandits

LLLLWLLWLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
27/06 Hornsby Spiders
Australia NBL1 East
79-97 L
20/06 Newcastle Falcons
Australia NBL1 East
92-93 L
14/06 Hills Hornets
Australia NBL1 East
84-75 W
13/06 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
Australia NBL1 East
70-111 L
30/05 Illawarra Hawks NBL1
Australia NBL1 East
102-111 L
24/05 Inner West Bulls
Australia NBL1 East
98-80 W
23/05 Sydney Comets
Australia NBL1 East
68-85 L
16/05 Sutherland Sharks
Australia NBL1 East
94-111 L
09/05 Maitland Mustangs
Australia NBL1 East
79-103 L
03/05 BA Coe
Australia NBL1 East
72-113 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Illawarra Hawks NBL1 vs Albury Wodonga Bandits?

Our model gives 91% to Illawarra Hawks NBL1.

How many points are expected in Illawarra Hawks NBL1 vs Albury Wodonga Bandits?

The model estimates 188.3 total points (Illawarra Hawks NBL1 102.3 · Albury Wodonga Bandits 86).