Basketball · Australia NBL1 South Women · 05/07, 04:00
Prediction: Dandenong Rangers (W) vs Ballarat Miners (W)
Estimated 168.5 total points (Dandenong Rangers (W) 85 · Ballarat Miners (W) 83.5).
Over its last 10 matches, Dandenong Rangers (W) sits at 5-0-5 (W-D-L), while Ballarat Miners (W) arrives on a 5-0-5 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Dandenong Rangers (W) and 3 for Ballarat Miners (W).
58%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dandenong Rangers (W) 1514 · Ballarat Miners (W) 1490
| Dandenong Rangers (W) | Ballarat Miners (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
168.5 points · Bet365 line 160.5 · +8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points168.5Dandenong Rangers (W) 85 · Ballarat Miners (W) 83.5
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Dandenong Rangers (W) | Ballarat Miners (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 83.2 / 82.9 | 85.1 / 81.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 84.4 / 77.4 | 81.2 / 79.8 |
| Est. result | 85 | 84 |
Est. total168.5
Line O/U160.5
Diff.8
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dandenong Rangers (W) 3–0–3 Ballarat Miners (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/25 Australia NBL1 South Women | Ballarat Miners (W) | 66-108 | Dandenong Rangers (W) |
| 15/06/24 Australia NBL1 South Women | Ballarat Miners (W) | 82-75 | Dandenong Rangers (W) |
| 29/04/23 Australia NBL1 South Women | Ballarat Miners (W) | 41-86 | Dandenong Rangers (W) |
| 19/06/22 Australia NBL1 South Women | Dandenong Rangers (W) | 48-93 | Ballarat Miners (W) |
| 13/04/19 Australia NBL1 Women | Dandenong Rangers (W) | 90-73 | Ballarat Miners (W) |
| 06/04/18 Australia SEABL Women | Ballarat Miners (W) | 73-51 | Dandenong Rangers (W) |
Standings · Australia NBL1 South Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Knox Raiders (W) | 19 | 15 | 4 | 1569 | 1324 | 0 |
| 2 | Eltham Wildcats (W) | 19 | 15 | 4 | 1642 | 1455 | 0 |
| 3 | Sandringham Sabres (W) | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1523 | 1327 | 0 |
| 4 | Keilor Thunder (W) | 19 | 13 | 6 | 1481 | 1366 | 0 |
| 5 | Casey Cavaliers (W) | 19 | 13 | 6 | 1674 | 1546 | 0 |
| 6 | Diamond Valley Eagles (W) | 19 | 12 | 7 | 1686 | 1505 | 0 |
| 7 | Waverley Falcons (W) | 18 | 11 | 7 | 1398 | 1295 | 0 |
| 8 | Melbourne Tigers (W) | 20 | 12 | 8 | 1554 | 1538 | 0 |
| 9 | Ballarat Miners (W) | 19 | 11 | 8 | 1617 | 1527 | 0 |
| 10 | Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) | 20 | 11 | 9 | 1687 | 1612 | 0 |
| 11 | Northern Force (W) | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1495 | 1570 | 0 |
| 12 | Dandenong Rangers (W) | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1491 | 1507 | 0 |
| 13 | Nunawading Spectres (W) | 20 | 8 | 12 | 1534 | 1621 | 0 |
| 14 | Kilsyth Cobras (W) | 18 | 6 | 12 | 1367 | 1490 | 0 |
| 15 | Hobart Chargers (W) | 19 | 6 | 13 | 1472 | 1635 | 0 |
| 16 | Bendigo Braves (W) | 19 | 5 | 14 | 1487 | 1698 | 0 |
| 17 | Geelong United (W) | 19 | 5 | 14 | 1372 | 1614 | 0 |
| 18 | Frankston Blues (W) | 19 | 5 | 14 | 1318 | 1445 | 0 |
| 19 | Ringwood Hawks (W) | 19 | 3 | 16 | 1407 | 1699 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dandenong Rangers (W) | Ballarat Miners (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Tigers (W) | 70-80 L | 65-86 L |
| Geelong United (W) | 82-85 L | 81-86 L |
| Keilor Thunder (W) | 95-90 W | 73-81 L |
| Knox Raiders (W) | 73-91 L | 84-91 L |
| Northern Force (W) | 83-98 L | 77-75 W |
| Hobart Chargers (W) | 95-100 L | 94-98 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dandenong Rangers (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Melbourne Tigers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
70-80 | L |
| 27/06 | Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
90-76 | W |
| 20/06 | Frankston Blues (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
81-63 | W |
| 13/06 | Diamond Valley Eagles (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
99-83 | W |
| 31/05 | Geelong United (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
82-85 | L |
| 30/05 | Nunawading Spectres (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
64-63 | W |
| 24/05 | Keilor Thunder (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
95-90 | W |
| 23/05 | Knox Raiders (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
73-91 | L |
| 16/05 | Northern Force (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
83-98 | L |
| 15/05 | Hobart Chargers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
95-100 | L |
Ballarat Miners (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Waverley Falcons (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
80-79 | W |
| 20/06 | Geelong United (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
81-86 | L |
| 14/06 | Northern Force (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
77-75 | W |
| 13/06 | Casey Cavaliers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
95-78 | W |
| 05/06 | Keilor Thunder (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
73-81 | L |
| 31/05 | Knox Raiders (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
84-91 | L |
| 30/05 | Geelong United (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
95-73 | W |
| 24/05 | Hobart Chargers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
94-98 | L |
| 23/05 | Ringwood Hawks (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
107-72 | W |
| 16/05 | Melbourne Tigers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
65-86 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dandenong Rangers (W) vs Ballarat Miners (W)?
Our model gives 58% to Dandenong Rangers (W).
How many points are expected in Dandenong Rangers (W) vs Ballarat Miners (W)?
The model estimates 168.5 total points (Dandenong Rangers (W) 85 · Ballarat Miners (W) 83.5).