Basketball · Australia NBL1 South Women · 05/07, 04:30
Prediction: Geelong United (W) vs Diamond Valley Eagles (W)
Estimated 163.3 total points (Geelong United (W) 77.5 · Diamond Valley Eagles (W) 85.8). Over 158.5 points (65% of recent history, magic 9).
Recent form leaves Geelong United (W) with 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses over 10 games; Diamond Valley Eagles (W) has piled up 5-0-5 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Geelong United (W) won 4 and Diamond Valley Eagles (W) 2.
51%1
Model analysis
Estimated points163.3Geelong United (W) 77.5 · Diamond Valley Eagles (W) 85.8
Over / Under 158.5Over · 65%trend · magic 9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diamond Valley Eagles (W) (rating 1452 vs 1533).
- H2H favours Geelong United (W): 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Geelong United (W) | Diamond Valley Eagles (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 75.3 / 84.8 | 88.6 / 82 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 76.8 / 85.8 | 92.4 / 82.4 |
| Est. result | 78 | 86 |
Est. total163.3
Line O/U158.5
Diff.4.8
Over / Under65% / 35%
Head-to-head (H2H) · Geelong United (W) 4–0–2 Diamond Valley Eagles (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Australia NBL1 South Women | Diamond Valley Eagles (W) | 90-51 | Geelong United (W) |
| 09/08/25 Australia NBL1 South Women | Geelong United (W) | 80-72 | Diamond Valley Eagles (W) |
| 21/06/25 Australia NBL1 South Women | Geelong United (W) | 83-66 | Diamond Valley Eagles (W) |
| 13/07/24 Australia NBL1 South Women | Diamond Valley Eagles (W) | 95-84 | Geelong United (W) |
| 07/05/23 Australia NBL1 South Women | Diamond Valley Eagles (W) | 67-73 | Geelong United (W) |
| 19/06/22 Australia NBL1 South Women | Diamond Valley Eagles (W) | 66-94 | Geelong United (W) |
Standings · Australia NBL1 South Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Knox Raiders (W) | 19 | 15 | 4 | 1569 | 1324 | 0 |
| 2 | Sandringham Sabres (W) | 18 | 14 | 4 | 1456 | 1252 | 0 |
| 3 | Eltham Wildcats (W) | 18 | 14 | 4 | 1567 | 1388 | 0 |
| 4 | Casey Cavaliers (W) | 18 | 13 | 5 | 1582 | 1441 | 0 |
| 5 | Keilor Thunder (W) | 19 | 13 | 6 | 1481 | 1366 | 0 |
| 6 | Waverley Falcons (W) | 18 | 11 | 7 | 1398 | 1295 | 0 |
| 7 | Diamond Valley Eagles (W) | 18 | 11 | 7 | 1598 | 1421 | 0 |
| 8 | Melbourne Tigers (W) | 19 | 11 | 8 | 1481 | 1487 | 0 |
| 9 | Ballarat Miners (W) | 19 | 11 | 8 | 1617 | 1527 | 0 |
| 10 | Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) | 19 | 10 | 9 | 1593 | 1544 | 0 |
| 11 | Northern Force (W) | 18 | 8 | 10 | 1444 | 1497 | 0 |
| 12 | Dandenong Rangers (W) | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1491 | 1507 | 0 |
| 13 | Nunawading Spectres (W) | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1450 | 1533 | 0 |
| 14 | Hobart Chargers (W) | 19 | 6 | 13 | 1472 | 1635 | 0 |
| 15 | Kilsyth Cobras (W) | 17 | 5 | 12 | 1262 | 1398 | 0 |
| 16 | Bendigo Braves (W) | 18 | 5 | 13 | 1419 | 1604 | 0 |
| 17 | Frankston Blues (W) | 18 | 5 | 13 | 1243 | 1365 | 0 |
| 18 | Geelong United (W) | 18 | 4 | 14 | 1292 | 1539 | 0 |
| 19 | Ringwood Hawks (W) | 19 | 3 | 16 | 1407 | 1699 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Geelong United (W) | Diamond Valley Eagles (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Nunawading Spectres (W) | 74-82 L | 88-84 W |
| Casey Cavaliers (W) | 78-98 L | 96-101 L |
| Dandenong Rangers (W) | 85-82 W | 83-99 L |
| Waverley Falcons (W) | 67-72 L | 62-71 L |
| Northern Force (W) | 80-88 L | 91-92 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Diamond Valley Eagles (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Geelong United (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Frankston Blues (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
80-75 | W |
| 27/06 | Nunawading Spectres (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
74-82 | L |
| 21/06 | Casey Cavaliers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
78-98 | L |
| 20/06 | Ballarat Miners (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
86-81 | W |
| 14/06 | Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
66-93 | L |
| 31/05 | Dandenong Rangers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
85-82 | W |
| 30/05 | Ballarat Miners (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
73-95 | L |
| 24/05 | Waverley Falcons (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
67-72 | L |
| 23/05 | Northern Force (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
80-88 | L |
| 16/05 | Knox Raiders (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
64-82 | L |
Diamond Valley Eagles (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Nunawading Spectres (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
88-84 | W |
| 27/06 | Kilsyth Cobras (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
98-60 | W |
| 21/06 | Melbourne Tigers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
97-68 | W |
| 20/06 | Casey Cavaliers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
96-101 | L |
| 13/06 | Dandenong Rangers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
83-99 | L |
| 08/06 | Waverley Falcons (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
62-71 | L |
| 30/05 | Eltham Wildcats (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
81-82 | L |
| 24/05 | Bendigo Braves (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
109-93 | W |
| 16/05 | Hobart Chargers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
81-70 | W |
| 15/05 | Northern Force (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
91-92 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Geelong United (W) vs Diamond Valley Eagles (W)?
Our model gives 51% to Geelong United (W).
How many points are expected in Geelong United (W) vs Diamond Valley Eagles (W)?
The model estimates 163.3 total points (Geelong United (W) 77.5 · Diamond Valley Eagles (W) 85.8).
Over or under 158.5 points?
Recent history points to over 158.5 points (65%).