Glossary · Value bet
Value bet
A value bet is one where the model believes the outcome happens more often than its odds imply — that is, with positive expected value. It is the concept that drives long-term profit.
Example
Odds 2.30 (imply 43%). If the model gives it 50%, that extra +7% is the «value». Always betting where value exists is what pays off, even if a single match can lose.