Tennis · W50 Funchal · 16/11, 15:30

Prediction: Valentina Losciale vs Carlotta Moccia

Team pages: Valentina Losciale · Carlotta Moccia

Prediction summary
Winner
49% 51%
Valentina Losciale Carlotta Moccia
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Valentina Losciale 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWWLWWL
Carlotta Moccia 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Valentina Losciale 1536 · Carlotta Moccia 1541
Valentina LoscialeCarlotta Moccia
Our model49%51%
Market49%51%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Valentina Losciale makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Valentina LoscialeCarlotta Moccia
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 71% (7) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.5-0.9
Games (G-P)11.1-9.811.3-9.1
Aces2.51.2
Double faults43.1
1st serve %65.6%61.9%
Break %44.3%53.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Valentina Losciale

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/11 Kate Gardiner
W50 Funchal
2-1 14-12 W
21/10 Kateryna Lazarenko
W15 Villena · ~Hard
1-2 12-14 L
20/10 Gabriela Paun
W15 Villena · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
08/10 Polina Skliar
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 10-14 L
07/10 Lan Mi
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
06/10 Tereza Tsybulska
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
01/10 Zi Ying Ruan
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 17-15 W
30/09 Chelsea Fontenel
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
30/08 Valentina Ivanov
W50 Leiria
0-2 2-12 L
20/08 Sayaka Ishii
W15 Logrono
0-2 7-12 L

Carlotta Moccia

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/11 Milla Sequeira
W50 Funchal
2-0 12-5 W
12/11 Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen
W15 Nules
0-2 6-12 L
10/11 Defne Cirpanli
W15 Nules
2-0 12-4 W
22/10 Weronika Falkowska
W35 Loule · ~Hard
1-2 15-19 L
20/10 Sarafina Olivia Hansen
W35 Loule · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
08/10 Britt Du Pree
W35 Lagos
1-2 11-18 L
06/10 Katarina Kujovic
W35 Lagos
2-0 12-4 W
05/10 Beatriz Castro
W35 Lagos
2-0 12-3 W
30/09 Radka Zelnickova
W35 Baza
1-2 12-16 L
28/09 Carolina Gomez
W35 Baza
2-1 9-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Valentina Losciale vs Carlotta Moccia?

Our model gives 51% to Carlotta Moccia, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.