Tennis · Challenger Montevideo · 16/11, 14:00
Prediction: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Alvaro Guillen Meza
Team pages: Gonzalo Villanueva · Alvaro Guillen Meza
Prediction summary
Winner
Gonzalo Villanueva
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Gonzalo Villanueva
2-8 (W-L)
Alvaro Guillen Meza
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gonzalo Villanueva
1–1
Alvaro Guillen Meza
(2 last)
- 16 Feb1-2 14-17L
- 15 Oct2-1 16-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gonzalo Villanueva 1449 · Alvaro Guillen Meza 1417
| Gonzalo Villanueva | Alvaro Guillen Meza | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Gonzalo Villanueva | Alvaro Guillen Meza | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 30% (10) | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 0.5-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-12.5 | 10-13.2 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 40.7% | 30.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
H2H · Gonzalo Villanueva 1 – 1 Alvaro Guillen Meza (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gonzalo Villanueva 1–1 Alvaro Guillen Meza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/24 ITF M25 Punta del Este | 1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/10/23 Challenger Santa Fe | 2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gonzalo Villanueva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Nicolas Barrientos Challenger Montevideo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/11 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/10 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 05/10 | Nick Hardt Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 02/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Mateus Alves Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Alvaro Guillen Meza
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Thiago Estramil Challenger Montevideo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/10 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Arthur Fery Davis Cup |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 31/08 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 25/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gonzalo Villanueva vs Alvaro Guillen Meza?
Our model gives 53% to Gonzalo Villanueva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.