Tennis · Challenger Metz · 16/11, 14:00
Prediction: Carlos Taberner vs Filippo Moroni
Team pages: Carlos Taberner · Filippo Moroni
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlos Taberner
Filippo Moroni
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Carlos Taberner
5-5 (W-L)
Filippo Moroni
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlos Taberner 1518 · Filippo Moroni 1506
| Carlos Taberner | Filippo Moroni | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Carlos Taberner | Filippo Moroni | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.3-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.7 | 13.1-12.1 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 49% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlos Taberner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Metz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Alexander Ritschard Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 18/10 | Goncalo Marques Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/10 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 01/10 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/09 | Elmer Moller Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/09 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
Filippo Moroni
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 05/10 | Ignacio Parisca Romera Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 04/10 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 28/09 | Fabrizio Andaloro Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 27/09 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/09 | Melios Efstathiou M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Filippo Mazzola M25 Pozzuoli |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Emile Hudd M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Tiago Pereira M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-7 | L |
| 24/06 | Ivan Dreycopp M25 Porto |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlos Taberner vs Filippo Moroni?
Our model gives 57% to Carlos Taberner, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.