Tennis · M25 Vale do Lobo · 16/11, 13:30
Prediction: Alejandro Lopez Escribano vs Goncalo Da Rosa Castro
Team pages: Alejandro Lopez Escribano · Goncalo Da Rosa Castro
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Lopez Escribano
Goncalo Da Rosa Castro
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Lopez Escribano
5-5 (W-L)
Goncalo Da Rosa Castro
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Lopez Escribano 1462 · Goncalo Da Rosa Castro 1434
| Alejandro Lopez Escribano | Goncalo Da Rosa Castro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Goncalo Da Rosa Castro makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Alejandro Lopez Escribano | Goncalo Da Rosa Castro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-10.6 | 7.4-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 54.3% | 60.2% |
| Break % | 53.7% | 44.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Lopez Escribano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Joao Domingues M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/11 | Hugo Maia M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 13/07 | Akira Santillan Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 28/04 | Florian Broska M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 27/04 | Ivan Lopez Martos M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/04 | Goncalo Marques M15 Ceuta · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/03 | Johan Nikles M25 Faro |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/03 | Daniel Batista M25 Faro |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/03 | Liam Hignett M25 Faro |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/02 | Henry Searle M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Goncalo Da Rosa Castro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Tiago Cacao M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 20/10 | Andrea Paolini M15 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Duarte De Lima Sanches M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/08 | Pablo Perez Navarro M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Peter Alam M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Lameck Bagerbaseh M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Lopez Escribano vs Goncalo Da Rosa Castro?
Our model gives 58% to Alejandro Lopez Escribano, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.