Tennis · M25 Vale do Lobo · 16/11, 12:00

Prediction: Pablo Perez Navarro vs Conor Brady

Team pages: Pablo Perez Navarro · Conor Brady

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Pablo Perez Navarro Conor Brady
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Pablo Perez Navarro 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLWLWLWL
Conor Brady 7-3 (W-L)
WLLWWWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pablo Perez Navarro 1501 · Conor Brady 1505
Pablo Perez NavarroConor Brady
Our model49%51%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Pablo Perez Navarro makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Pablo Perez NavarroConor Brady
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 0% (2) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1-1.11.2-1
Games (G-P)9.8-8.710.7-8.4
Aces1.71.2
Double faults41.3
1st serve %66.9%66.7%
Break %46.2%57.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pablo Perez Navarro

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/09 Pietro Marino
M15 Melilla
0-2 3-12 L
15/09 Pablo De La Cierva Sanchez
M15 Melilla
2-0 12-4 W
14/08 Dan Added
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
0-2 9-13 L
13/08 Mathieu Scaglia
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 12-2 W
12/08 Fabrizio Andaloro
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-1 16-11 W
10/08 Goncalo Da Rosa Castro
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 12-6 W
22/07 Michiel de Krom
M25 Denia
0-2 7-13 L
21/07 Manuel Belda
M25 Denia
2-0 12-2 W
14/07 Oliver Crawford
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
10/06 Pablo Martinez Gomez
M25 Martos · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L

Conor Brady

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/10 William Nolan
M25 Sheffield
0-2 8-13 L
25/10 Matthew Carroll
M25 Sheffield
2-0 13-6 W
20/10 Billy Blaydes
M25 Redbridge
1-2 13-15 L
19/10 Mateja Stanisavljevic
M25 Redbridge
2-0 12-5 W
18/10 Toby Clarke
M25 Redbridge
2-0 12-2 W
16/09 Andreja Petrovic
M25 Nevers
1-2 14-12 L
14/09 Jack McGary
M25 Nevers
2-0 12-5 W
02/08 Roan Jones
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
27/07 Oscar Brown
M25 Aldershot
0-2 7-12 L
26/07 Samuel Constantinou
M25 Aldershot
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pablo Perez Navarro vs Conor Brady?

Our model gives 53% to Pablo Perez Navarro, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.