Tennis · W15 Paris · 17/11, 10:00

Prediction: Tilwith Di Girolami vs Kim Chiarello

Team pages: Tilwith Di Girolami · Kim Chiarello

Prediction summary
Winner
64% 36%
Tilwith Di Girolami Kim Chiarello
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Tilwith Di Girolami 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWLWLWWW
Kim Chiarello 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLWWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tilwith Di Girolami 1539 · Kim Chiarello 1500
Tilwith Di GirolamiKim Chiarello
Our model56%44%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Kim Chiarello makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Tilwith Di GirolamiKim Chiarello
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 50% (2) –
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.81.3-1
Games (G-P)10.7-9.211.1-9.6
Aces11.7
Double faults2.94
1st serve %59.2%67.2%
Break %47.1%50.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tilwith Di Girolami

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/11 Beatrise Zeltina
W15 Paris
1-2 10-14 L
12/11 Anna Brunet-Brady
W15 Paris
2-0 12-2 W
10/11 Meline Lataste
W15 Paris
2-0 12-5 W
02/11 Kira Pavlova
W75 Petange
0-2 2-12 L
01/11 Annemarie Lazar
W75 Petange
2-0 13-9 W
29/10 Lian Tran
W15 Essen
1-2 13-18 L
28/10 Milena Ciocan
W15 Essen
2-0 12-7 W
26/10 Leonie Schuknecht
W15 Essen
2-0 13-6 W
18/10 Alisa Oktiabreva
W35 Heraklion · ~Hard
1-2 13-18 L
17/10 Elena Ruxandra Bertea
W35 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 7-1 W

Kim Chiarello

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/11 Alina Nesmianovych
W15 Paris
1-2 10-9 L
18/10 Sara Cakarevic
W50 Cherbourg
0-2 4-12 L
08/10 Amandine Monnot
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
1-2 14-17 L
06/10 Marie Villet
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
2-0 14-12 W
05/10 Hee Rae Im
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
2-0 12-4 W
04/10 Anna Brunet-Brady
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
2-0 12-1 W
30/09 Salma Djoubri
W35 Reims
1-2 11-16 L
29/09 Meline Lataste
W35 Reims
2-0 12-6 W
28/09 Severine Deppner
W35 Reims
2-0 12-6 W
14/09 Demi Tran
W75 Le Neubourg
0-2 10-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tilwith Di Girolami vs Kim Chiarello?

Our model gives 64% to Tilwith Di Girolami, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.