Tennis · Challenger Champaign · 16/11, 17:00
Prediction: Bryce Nakashima vs Shunsuke Mitsui
Team pages: Bryce Nakashima · Shunsuke Mitsui
Prediction summary
Winner
Bryce Nakashima
Shunsuke Mitsui
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Bryce Nakashima
4-6 (W-L)
Shunsuke Mitsui
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bryce Nakashima 1524 · Shunsuke Mitsui 1469
| Bryce Nakashima | Shunsuke Mitsui | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bryce Nakashima (rating 1524 vs 1469).
Statistics
| Bryce Nakashima | Shunsuke Mitsui | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-12.9 | 9.7-10.5 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 75.1% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 26.6% | 35% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bryce Nakashima
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Hiroki Sakagawa Challenger Champaign · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 06/11 | Kaylan Bigun M25 Harlingen |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/11 | Togan Tokac M25 Harlingen |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 03/11 | Quinn Vandecasteele M25 Harlingen |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 27/10 | Jenson Brooksby Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 30/09 | Jack Kennedy Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/09 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Timo Legout Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
Shunsuke Mitsui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | William Mroz Mroz Challenger Champaign · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 08/11 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/11 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/11 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Andrew Fenty M25 Austin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Mitchell Krueger M25 Austin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Oliver Okonkwo Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Ryan Colby Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bryce Nakashima vs Shunsuke Mitsui?
Our model gives 54% to Bryce Nakashima, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.