Tennis · W15 Paris · 16/11, 10:00

Prediction: Severine Deppner vs Alexandra Biot

Team pages: Severine Deppner · Alexandra Biot

Prediction summary
Winner
37% 63%
Severine Deppner Alexandra Biot
Estimated games
18.8
Recent form · 10 last
Severine Deppner 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLLWLLLW
Alexandra Biot 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWLWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Severine Deppner 1477 · Alexandra Biot 1554
Severine DeppnerAlexandra Biot
Our model39%61%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandra Biot (rating 1477 vs 1554).
  • Alexandra Biot is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Alexandra Biot makes many double faults (7.1/match).

Statistics

Severine DeppnerAlexandra Biot
Win %40%70%
Win % · Hard 50% (4) –
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.31.4-0.7
Games (G-P)7.1-10.110.4-8.1
Aces0.70.8
Double faults1.87.1
1st serve %51.6%67.1%
Break %53.5%47.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 18.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Severine Deppner

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/11 Hanna Bougouffa
W15 Paris Qual
2-0 12-6 W
08/11 Teodora Vlajic
W15 Paris
0-2 3-12 L
18/10 Sarah Iliev
W50 Cherbourg
0-2 5-13 L
28/09 Kim Chiarello
W35 Reims
0-2 6-12 L
27/09 Emma Vanderheyden
W35 Reims
2-0 13-7 W
13/09 Carson Tanguilig
W75 Le Neubourg
0-2 4-12 L
15/07 Vlada Mincheva
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
14/07 Laura Valentine Pop
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 8-7 W
09/07 Nada Fouad
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
08/07 Sana Garakani
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W

Alexandra Biot

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/11 Megan Mae Root
W15 Paris Qual
2-0 12-5 W
06/11 Emese Serkedi
W15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
05/11 Milena Ciocan
W15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
03/11 Stefaniya Pushkar
W15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
02/11 Alexandra Bayuschenko
W15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
28/10 Grace Bernstein
W15 Taby
0-2 5-12 L
27/10 Ioana Stefania Boian
W15 Taby
2-0 12-6 W
26/10 Filippa Eckersten
W15 Taby
2-0 12-7 W
07/10 Victoria Pohle
W15 Szekesfehervar
0-2 8-12 L
06/10 Nikola Koprivova
W15 Szekesfehervar
2-1 11-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Severine Deppner vs Alexandra Biot?

Our model gives 63% to Alexandra Biot, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.