Tennis · Challenger Helsinki · 16/11, 13:30
Prediction: Luka Mikrut vs Michael Agwi
Team pages: Luka Mikrut · Michael Agwi
Prediction summary
Winner
Luka Mikrut
Michael Agwi
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Luka Mikrut
5-5 (W-L)
Michael Agwi
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luka Mikrut 1551 · Michael Agwi 1530
| Luka Mikrut | Michael Agwi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Michael Agwi makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Luka Mikrut | Michael Agwi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.2 | 11.6-10.4 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 5 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 73.4% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 60.4% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luka Mikrut
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Iiro Vasa Challenger Helsinki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/11 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Monastir · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/11 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/11 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 16/10 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/10 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 07/10 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Michael Agwi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Helsinki · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 14/10 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Offenbach |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 13/10 | Noel Larwig M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Finn Murgett M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/09 | Francisco Rocha M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Adria Soriano Barrera M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/09 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 05/09 | Linus Lagerbohm M15 Szczawno |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luka Mikrut vs Michael Agwi?
Our model gives 67% to Luka Mikrut, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.