Tennis · W35 Sao Paulo · 17/11, 14:00
Prediction: Miriana Tona vs Marie Mettraux
Team pages: Miriana Tona · Marie Mettraux
Prediction summary
Winner
Miriana Tona
Marie Mettraux
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Miriana Tona
4-6 (W-L)
Marie Mettraux
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miriana Tona 1505 · Marie Mettraux 1541
| Miriana Tona | Marie Mettraux | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Miriana Tona makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Miriana Tona | Marie Mettraux | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-9.6 | 12-9.3 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 58.5% |
| Break % | 54.8% | 64.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miriana Tona
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | Vivian Wolff W50 Chihuahua |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/11 | Julia Garcia W50 Chihuahua |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/11 | Anastasia Tikhonova W50 Chihuahua |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 04/11 | Anastasia Tikhonova W50 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 28/10 | Ana Carmen Zamburek W50 Morelia |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Misa Malkin W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Nahia Berecoechea W50 Yecla |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Ashley Lahey W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Rositsa Dencheva WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Denislava Glushkova WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Marie Mettraux
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Barbara Gatica W15 Sao Carlos |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 14/11 | Victoria Bosio W15 Sao Carlos |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 13/11 | Sofia Meabe W15 Sao Carlos |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 12/11 | Catarina M I Melleiro Junior W15 Sao Carlos |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/11 | Gabriela Kawano Cho W15 Sao Carlos |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/10 | Lidia Encheva WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Gabriela Ce W35 Seville |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Alisa Oktiabreva W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 25/09 | Denise Valente W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miriana Tona vs Marie Mettraux?
Our model gives 52% to Marie Mettraux, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.