Tennis · Challenger Helsinki · 16/11, 10:00
Prediction: Cezar Cretu vs Moez Echargui
Team pages: Cezar Cretu · Moez Echargui
Prediction summary
Winner
Cezar Cretu
Moez Echargui
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Cezar Cretu
5-5 (W-L)
Moez Echargui
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cezar Cretu 1538 · Moez Echargui 1501
| Cezar Cretu | Moez Echargui | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Cezar Cretu | Moez Echargui | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9 | 10-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 57.9% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cezar Cretu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Felix Alopaeus Challenger Helsinki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/11 | Philip Henning Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/11 | Pavlos Tsitsipas Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 08/11 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/11 | Robin Bertrand M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/11 | Melios Efstathiou M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 05/11 | Matias Reyniak M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/11 | Michel Hopp M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/10 | Garrett Johns M25 Malta |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Leo Borg M25 Malta |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Moez Echargui
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | John Sperle Challenger Helsinki · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 12/11 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Monastir · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/11 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/11 | Marcus Walters Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/10 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/10 | Mickael Kaouk Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cezar Cretu vs Moez Echargui?
Our model gives 56% to Moez Echargui, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.